Fernwald vs Darmstadt 98 II: prediction and stats
Oberliga - HessenHessen - 16Kick-off on October 31, 2026 at 02:00 PM (UTC)Sportplatz Steinbach, Fernwald
The Footlab model makes Darmstadt 98 II the favourite at 41%, against 23% for a draw and 37% for Fernwald. The most likely score is 1-1.
This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Aug 25, 2026 — the full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Fernwald vs Darmstadt 98 II?
A very open match: only 34 Elo points separate Fernwald (1,814) and Darmstadt 98 II (1,848).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Fernwald have 5 wins, 5 draws and 5 defeats; Darmstadt 98 II have 9, 3 and 3.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 23, 2026 | Kassel 2(away) | 2-1 | Oberliga - Hessen |
| Aug 15, 2026 | Hünfelder SV(home) | 1-3 | Oberliga - Hessen |
| Aug 12, 2026 | TuBa Pohlheim(home) | 1-1 | Oberliga - Hessen |
| Aug 8, 2026 | Bayern Alzenau(away) | 1-1 | Oberliga - Hessen |
| Jul 31, 2026 | Eintracht Stadtallendorf(home) | 2-0 | Oberliga - Hessen |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 22, 2026 | FC Gießen(home) | 3-0 | Oberliga - Hessen |
| Aug 16, 2026 | Baunatal(away) | 1-1 | Oberliga - Hessen |
| Aug 12, 2026 | Rot-Weiß Walldorf(away) | 4-1 | Oberliga - Hessen |
| Aug 8, 2026 | Hadamar(home) | 1-1 | Oberliga - Hessen |
| Aug 2, 2026 | Kassel(away) | 5-1 | Oberliga - Hessen |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 4 meetings: 3 Fernwald win(s), 0 draw(s), 1 Darmstadt 98 II win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| May 9, 2026 | Darmstadt 98 II 4-1 Fernwald | Oberliga - Hessen |
| Oct 18, 2025 | Fernwald 2-0 Darmstadt 98 II | Oberliga - Hessen |
| Apr 5, 2025 | Fernwald 1-0 Darmstadt 98 II | Oberliga - Hessen |
| Sep 21, 2024 | Darmstadt 98 II 0-2 Fernwald | Oberliga - Hessen |
Last archived meeting: Darmstadt 98 II vs Fernwald on May 9, 2026
How many goals should we expect?
Fernwald score 1.7 and concede 1.3 goals per match over their last 15; Darmstadt 98 II score 2.9 and concede 1.2. The model gives a 72% probability of over 2.5 goals and 72% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Fernwald | 1.7 | 1.3 | 4 | 10/15 | 8/15 |
| Darmstadt 98 II | 2.9 | 1.2 | 2 | 12/15 | 11/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Fernwald sit 9th in Oberliga - Hessen (8 points from 5 matches) and Darmstadt 98 II sit 3rd (11 points from 5 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 | Darmstadt 98 II | 5 | 3 | 2 | 0 | 14 | 4 | 11 |
| 9 | Fernwald | 5 | 2 | 2 | 1 | 7 | 6 | 8 |
Verdict, probable XI and verified absences
The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.
Open the full match card in the app
No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Fernwald vs Darmstadt 98 II?
- The Footlab model makes Darmstadt 98 II the favourite at 41%, against 23% for a draw and 37% for Fernwald.
- Where and when is Fernwald vs Darmstadt 98 II played?
- Fernwald vs Darmstadt 98 II is played on October 31, 2026 at 02:00 PM (UTC) at Sportplatz Steinbach, in the Oberliga - Hessen.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab model gives a 72% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.