Unter-Flockenbach vs Fernwald: prediction and stats
Oberliga - HessenHessen - 17Kick-off on November 7, 2026 at 02:30 PM (UTC)Kunstrasenplatz Unter-Flockenbach, Gorxheimertal
The Footlab model makes Unter-Flockenbach the favourite at 41%, against 22% for a draw and 36% for Fernwald. The most likely score is 1-1.
This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Aug 25, 2026 — the full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Unter-Flockenbach vs Fernwald?
Fernwald starts as the favourite with a 108-point Elo edge (1,811 vs 1,703).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Unter-Flockenbach have 5 wins, 4 draws and 6 defeats; Fernwald have 5, 5 and 5.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 22, 2026 | Baunatal(home) | 3-1 | Oberliga - Hessen |
| Aug 15, 2026 | Hadamar(away) | 3-4 | Oberliga - Hessen |
| Aug 12, 2026 | Hummetroth(away) | 2-1 | Oberliga - Hessen |
| Aug 8, 2026 | Kassel(home) | 6-0 | Oberliga - Hessen |
| Aug 2, 2026 | Rot-Weiß Walldorf(away) | 4-1 | Oberliga - Hessen |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 23, 2026 | Kassel 2(away) | 2-1 | Oberliga - Hessen |
| Aug 15, 2026 | Hünfelder SV(home) | 1-3 | Oberliga - Hessen |
| Aug 12, 2026 | TuBa Pohlheim(home) | 1-1 | Oberliga - Hessen |
| Aug 8, 2026 | Bayern Alzenau(away) | 1-1 | Oberliga - Hessen |
| Jul 31, 2026 | Eintracht Stadtallendorf(home) | 2-0 | Oberliga - Hessen |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 4 meetings: 0 Unter-Flockenbach win(s), 0 draw(s), 4 Fernwald win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Dec 7, 2024 | Unter-Flockenbach 1-4 Fernwald | Oberliga - Hessen |
| Jul 27, 2024 | Fernwald 3-0 Unter-Flockenbach | Oberliga - Hessen |
| Mar 4, 2023 | Unter-Flockenbach 0-1 Fernwald | Oberliga - Hessen |
| Aug 20, 2022 | Fernwald 3-0 Unter-Flockenbach | Oberliga - Hessen |
Last archived meeting: Unter-Flockenbach vs Fernwald on Dec 7, 2024
How many goals should we expect?
Unter-Flockenbach score 2.2 and concede 2.4 goals per match over their last 15; Fernwald score 1.7 and concede 1.3. The model gives a 73% probability of over 2.5 goals and 72% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Unter-Flockenbach | 2.2 | 2.4 | 3 | 11/15 | 13/15 |
| Fernwald | 1.7 | 1.3 | 4 | 10/15 | 8/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Unter-Flockenbach sit 1st in Oberliga - Hessen (12 points from 5 matches) and Fernwald sit 9th (8 points from 5 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Unter-Flockenbach | 5 | 4 | 0 | 1 | 18 | 7 | 12 |
| 9 | Fernwald | 5 | 2 | 2 | 1 | 7 | 6 | 8 |
Verdict, probable XI and verified absences
The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.
Open the full match card in the app
No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Unter-Flockenbach vs Fernwald?
- The Footlab model makes Unter-Flockenbach the favourite at 41%, against 22% for a draw and 36% for Fernwald.
- Where and when is Unter-Flockenbach vs Fernwald played?
- Unter-Flockenbach vs Fernwald is played on November 7, 2026 at 02:30 PM (UTC) at Kunstrasenplatz Unter-Flockenbach, in the Oberliga - Hessen.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab model gives a 73% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.