Match

Fernwald vs Kassel: prediction and stats

Oberliga - HessenHessen - 30Kick-off on April 24, 2027 at 01:00 PM (UTC)Sportplatz Steinbach, Fernwald

FernwaldKassel

The Footlab model makes Fernwald the favourite at 53%, against 20% for a draw and 26% for Kassel. The most likely score is 2-1.

This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy

Probabilities recomputed on Aug 26, 2026 — the full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.

Who will win Fernwald vs Kassel?

A very open match: only 69 Elo points separate Fernwald (1,811) and Kassel (1,742).

Fernwald win53 %
Draw20 %
Kassel win26 %

What is the recent form of both teams?

Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Fernwald have 5 wins, 5 draws and 5 defeats; Kassel have 6, 3 and 6.

The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.

Fernwald
DateOpponentScoreCompetition
Aug 23, 2026Kassel 2(away)2-1Oberliga - Hessen
Aug 15, 2026Hünfelder SV(home)1-3Oberliga - Hessen
Aug 12, 2026TuBa Pohlheim(home)1-1Oberliga - Hessen
Aug 8, 2026Bayern Alzenau(away)1-1Oberliga - Hessen
Jul 31, 2026Eintracht Stadtallendorf(home)2-0Oberliga - Hessen
Kassel
DateOpponentScoreCompetition
Aug 23, 2026TuBa Pohlheim(away)1-2Oberliga - Hessen
Aug 16, 2026Friedberg(home)1-1Oberliga - Hessen
Aug 12, 2026Baunatal(home)3-1Oberliga - Hessen
Aug 8, 2026Unter-Flockenbach(away)0-6Oberliga - Hessen
Aug 2, 2026Darmstadt 98 II(home)1-5Oberliga - Hessen

What does the head-to-head say?

Across the last 2 meetings: 1 Fernwald win(s), 1 draw(s), 0 Kassel win(s).

DateScoreCompetition
Mar 14, 2026Fernwald 3-3 KasselOberliga - Hessen
Aug 31, 2025Kassel 0-2 FernwaldOberliga - Hessen

Last archived meeting: Fernwald vs Kassel on Mar 14, 2026

How many goals should we expect?

Fernwald score 1.7 and concede 1.3 goals per match over their last 15; Kassel score 2.5 and concede 2.8. The model gives a 77% probability of over 2.5 goals and 74% for both teams to score.

ClubGoals scored / matchGoals conceded / matchClean sheetsBoth teams scoredOver 2.5 goals
Fernwald1.71.3410/158/15
Kassel2.52.8013/1512/15

Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.

Where do both teams sit in the table?

Fernwald sit 9th in Oberliga - Hessen (8 points from 5 matches) and Kassel sit 13th (4 points from 5 matches).

2026-27 standings
#ClubPWDLGFGAPts
9Fernwald5221768
13Kassel51136154

Verdict, probable XI and verified absences

The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.

Open the full match card in the app

No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.

How does Footlab compute this prediction?

The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite for Fernwald vs Kassel?
The Footlab model makes Fernwald the favourite at 53%, against 20% for a draw and 26% for Kassel.
Where and when is Fernwald vs Kassel played?
Fernwald vs Kassel is played on April 24, 2027 at 01:00 PM (UTC) at Sportplatz Steinbach, in the Oberliga - Hessen.
Will there be over 2.5 goals?
The Footlab model gives a 77% probability of at least three goals in this match.
How reliable is this prediction?
The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.

Other matches in the same round

Next match: Fernwald and Kassel

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