Match

Vfb Marburg vs Hadamar: prediction and stats

Oberliga - HessenHessen - 30Kick-off on April 24, 2027 at 12:00 PM (UTC)Stadion an der Gisselberger Straße, Marburg

Vfb MarburgHadamar

The Footlab model makes Vfb Marburg the favourite at 39%, against 25% for a draw and 37% for Hadamar. The most likely score is 1-1.

This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy

Probabilities recomputed on Aug 26, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.

Who will win Vfb Marburg vs Hadamar?

A very open match: only 44 Elo points separate Vfb Marburg (1,750) and Hadamar (1,706).

Vfb Marburg win39 %
Draw25 %
Hadamar win37 %

What is the recent form of both teams?

Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Vfb Marburg have 7 wins, 3 draws and 5 defeats; Hadamar have 6, 4 and 5.

The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.

Vfb Marburg
DateOpponentScoreCompetition
Aug 22, 20261960 Hanau(away)1-0Oberliga - Hessen
Aug 15, 2026Kassel 2(home)1-1Oberliga - Hessen
Aug 12, 2026Eintracht Stadtallendorf(home)2-2Oberliga - Hessen
Aug 7, 2026Hünfelder SV(away)1-0Oberliga - Hessen
Aug 1, 2026Bayern Alzenau(home)2-1Oberliga - Hessen
Hadamar
DateOpponentScoreCompetition
Aug 23, 2026Friedberg(away)3-0Oberliga - Hessen
Aug 15, 2026Unter-Flockenbach(home)4-3Oberliga - Hessen
Aug 12, 2026FC Gießen(away)0-0Oberliga - Hessen
Aug 8, 2026Darmstadt 98 II(away)1-1Oberliga - Hessen
Jul 31, 2026Baunatal(home)2-1Oberliga - Hessen

How many goals should we expect?

Vfb Marburg score 1.5 and concede 1.3 goals per match over their last 15; Hadamar score 2.2 and concede 2.1. The model gives a 62% probability of over 2.5 goals and 65% for both teams to score.

ClubGoals scored / matchGoals conceded / matchClean sheetsBoth teams scoredOver 2.5 goals
Vfb Marburg1.51.348/158/15
Hadamar2.22.168/1511/15

Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.

Where do both teams sit in the table?

Vfb Marburg sit 5th in Oberliga - Hessen (11 points from 5 matches) and Hadamar sit 4th (11 points from 5 matches).

2026-27 standings
#ClubPWDLGFGAPts
4Hadamar532013811
5Vfb Marburg53207411

Verdict, probable XI and verified absences

The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.

Open the full match card in the app

No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.

How does Footlab compute this prediction?

The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite for Vfb Marburg vs Hadamar?
The Footlab model makes Vfb Marburg the favourite at 39%, against 25% for a draw and 37% for Hadamar.
Where and when is Vfb Marburg vs Hadamar played?
Vfb Marburg vs Hadamar is played on April 24, 2027 at 12:00 PM (UTC) at Stadion an der Gisselberger Straße, in the Oberliga - Hessen.
Will there be over 2.5 goals?
The Footlab model gives a 62% probability of at least three goals in this match.
How reliable is this prediction?
The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.

Other matches in the same round

Next match: Vfb Marburg and Hadamar

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