Vfb Marburg vs Hadamar: prediction and stats
Oberliga - HessenHessen - 30Kick-off on April 24, 2027 at 12:00 PM (UTC)Stadion an der Gisselberger Straße, Marburg
The Footlab model makes Vfb Marburg the favourite at 39%, against 25% for a draw and 37% for Hadamar. The most likely score is 1-1.
This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Aug 26, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Vfb Marburg vs Hadamar?
A very open match: only 44 Elo points separate Vfb Marburg (1,750) and Hadamar (1,706).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Vfb Marburg have 7 wins, 3 draws and 5 defeats; Hadamar have 6, 4 and 5.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 22, 2026 | 1960 Hanau(away) | 1-0 | Oberliga - Hessen |
| Aug 15, 2026 | Kassel 2(home) | 1-1 | Oberliga - Hessen |
| Aug 12, 2026 | Eintracht Stadtallendorf(home) | 2-2 | Oberliga - Hessen |
| Aug 7, 2026 | Hünfelder SV(away) | 1-0 | Oberliga - Hessen |
| Aug 1, 2026 | Bayern Alzenau(home) | 2-1 | Oberliga - Hessen |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 23, 2026 | Friedberg(away) | 3-0 | Oberliga - Hessen |
| Aug 15, 2026 | Unter-Flockenbach(home) | 4-3 | Oberliga - Hessen |
| Aug 12, 2026 | FC Gießen(away) | 0-0 | Oberliga - Hessen |
| Aug 8, 2026 | Darmstadt 98 II(away) | 1-1 | Oberliga - Hessen |
| Jul 31, 2026 | Baunatal(home) | 2-1 | Oberliga - Hessen |
How many goals should we expect?
Vfb Marburg score 1.5 and concede 1.3 goals per match over their last 15; Hadamar score 2.2 and concede 2.1. The model gives a 62% probability of over 2.5 goals and 65% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Vfb Marburg | 1.5 | 1.3 | 4 | 8/15 | 8/15 |
| Hadamar | 2.2 | 2.1 | 6 | 8/15 | 11/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Vfb Marburg sit 5th in Oberliga - Hessen (11 points from 5 matches) and Hadamar sit 4th (11 points from 5 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4 | Hadamar | 5 | 3 | 2 | 0 | 13 | 8 | 11 |
| 5 | Vfb Marburg | 5 | 3 | 2 | 0 | 7 | 4 | 11 |
Verdict, probable XI and verified absences
The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.
Open the full match card in the app
No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Vfb Marburg vs Hadamar?
- The Footlab model makes Vfb Marburg the favourite at 39%, against 25% for a draw and 37% for Hadamar.
- Where and when is Vfb Marburg vs Hadamar played?
- Vfb Marburg vs Hadamar is played on April 24, 2027 at 12:00 PM (UTC) at Stadion an der Gisselberger Straße, in the Oberliga - Hessen.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab model gives a 62% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.
Other matches in the same round
- Apr 24, 2027Bayern AlzenauvsFriedberg
- Apr 24, 2027Eintracht StadtallendorfvsTuBa Pohlheim
- Apr 24, 2027FernwaldvsKassel
- Apr 24, 2027Hünfelder SVvsUnter-Flockenbach
- Apr 24, 20271960 HanauvsBaunatal
- Apr 24, 2027HummetrothvsFC Gießen
- Apr 25, 2027EddersheimvsRot-Weiß Walldorf
- Apr 25, 2027Kassel 2vsDarmstadt 98 II