Ferroviária vs Coritiba: result 2-1 and analysis
Serie BRegular Season - 6Kick-off on May 3, 2025 at 12:35 AM (UTC)Estádio Doutor Adhemar de Barros, Araraquara, São Paulo
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What was the result of Ferroviária vs Coritiba?
Ferroviária won 2-1 on May 3, 2025.
Goalscorers
- 18′Gustavo CoutinhoCoritiba
- 64′CarlãoFerroviária
- 82′CarlãoFerroviária
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Ferroviária have 5 wins, 6 draws and 4 defeats; Coritiba have 7, 5 and 3.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Apr 27, 2025 | Cuiaba(away) | 0-1 | Serie B |
| Apr 22, 2025 | Volta Redonda(away) | 0-0 | Serie B |
| Apr 18, 2025 | Atletico Goianiense(home) | 2-0 | Serie B |
| Apr 12, 2025 | Amazonas(away) | 0-0 | Serie B |
| Apr 6, 2025 | Remo(home) | 1-1 | Serie B |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Apr 26, 2025 | Operario-PR(home) | 2-0 | Serie B |
| Apr 22, 2025 | Remo(away) | 0-1 | Serie B |
| Apr 17, 2025 | Novorizontino(home) | 0-0 | Serie B |
| Apr 12, 2025 | Chapecoense-sc(away) | 2-1 | Serie B |
| Apr 5, 2025 | Vila Nova(home) | 1-0 | Serie B |
How many goals should we expect?
Ferroviária score 1.1 and concede 0.9 goals per match over their last 15; Coritiba score 1.5 and concede 0.8.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Ferroviária | 1.1 | 0.9 | 6 | 6/15 | 5/15 |
| Coritiba | 1.5 | 0.8 | 8 | 5/15 | 5/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Ferroviária sit 17th in Serie B (40 points from 38 matches) and Coritiba sit 1st (68 points from 38 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Coritiba | 38 | 19 | 11 | 8 | 39 | 23 | 68 |
| 17 | Ferroviária | 38 | 8 | 16 | 14 | 43 | 52 | 40 |
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy