Coritiba vs Vitoria: prediction and stats
Serie ARegular Season - 33Kick-off on October 28, 2026 at 09:00 PM (UTC)Estádio Major Antônio Couto Pereira, Curitiba, Paraná
The Footlab AI model makes Coritiba the favourite at 40%, against 25% for a draw and 35% for Vitoria. The most likely score is 1-1. If Coritiba wins, the most likely score is 2-1.
Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome in 54.8% of the 1,754 matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Oct 8, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Coritiba vs Vitoria?
A very open match: only 19 Elo points separate Coritiba (1,794) and Vitoria (1,812).
Computed by the Footlab AI model from our own data only, with no AI analysis.
Probable lineup for Coritiba vs Vitoria
Computed by Footlab AI from our own data only: recent lineups, squads and known absences. It does not take the press or last-minute absences into account.
Coritiba
4-2-3-1- 32Pedro Rocha
- 19S. Gómez
- 7J. Lavega
- 21Thiago Santos
- 10Josué
- 77Breno Lopes
- 26Bruno Melo
- 23Tiago Cóser
- 55Jacy
- 44João Pedro Chermont
- 1Pedro Luccas
Vitoria
4-2-3-1- 91Rene
- 12D. Tarzia
- 33Erick
- 95Caíque
- 10Matheuzinho
- 6E. Martínez
- 36Luan Cândido
- 83Jamerson
- 98Mateusinho
- 25Cacá
- 1Lucas Arcanjo
Computed on October 8, 2026 at 02:01 PM (UTC).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Coritiba have 5 wins, 4 draws and 6 defeats; Vitoria have 4, 2 and 9.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Sep 19, 2026 | Vasco DA Gama(away) | 0-5 | Serie A |
| Sep 12, 2026 | Atletico Paranaense(home) | 3-3 | Serie A |
| Sep 6, 2026 | Mirassol(home) | 1-2 | Serie A |
| Aug 31, 2026 | Remo(away) | 3-2 | Serie A |
| Aug 23, 2026 | Corinthians(home) | 2-1 | Serie A |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 7, 2026 | Chapecoense-sc(home) | 4-0 | Serie A |
| Sep 20, 2026 | Cruzeiro(home) | 1-3 | Serie A |
| Sep 13, 2026 | Mirassol(away) | 2-2 | Serie A |
| Sep 7, 2026 | Gremio(home) | 1-0 | Serie A |
| Sep 3, 2026 | Vasco DA Gama(home) | 0-2 | Copa Do Brasil |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 6 meetings: 2 Coritiba wins, 2 draws, 2 Vitoria wins.
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| May 2, 2026 | Vitoria 4-1 Coritiba | Serie A |
| Sep 22, 2021 | Vitoria 0-0 Coritiba | Serie B |
| Jun 23, 2021 | Coritiba 1-0 Vitoria | Serie B |
| Nov 30, 2019 | Vitoria 1-2 Coritiba | Serie B |
| Aug 27, 2019 | Coritiba 1-1 Vitoria | Serie B |
| Aug 28, 2017 | Coritiba 0-1 Vitoria | Serie A |
How many goals should we expect?
Coritiba score 1.4 and concede 1.9 goals per match over their last 15; Vitoria score 0.9 and concede 1.5. The model gives a 59% probability of over 2.5 goals and 62% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Coritiba | 1.4 | 1.9 | 2 | 9/15 | 11/15 |
| Vitoria | 0.9 | 1.5 | 5 | 3/15 | 6/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Coritiba sit 9th in Serie A (38 points from 28 matches) and Vitoria sit 12th (36 points from 29 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 9 | Coritiba | 28 | 10 | 8 | 10 | 37 | 43 | 38 |
| 12 | Vitoria | 29 | 10 | 6 | 13 | 32 | 42 | 36 |
A question about Coritiba vs Vitoria?
Ask Footlab AI: lineups, absences, player form, stats, how the match could unfold.
Sign-in required. No odds displayed, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab AI compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. When bookmakers publish odds for the match, their consensus is built into the calculation: that is what proved most accurate on past matches. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Coritiba vs Vitoria?
- The Footlab AI model makes Coritiba the favourite at 40%, against 25% for a draw and 35% for Vitoria.
- Where and when is Coritiba vs Vitoria played?
- Coritiba vs Vitoria is played on October 28, 2026 at 09:00 PM (UTC) at Estádio Major Antônio Couto Pereira, in the Serie A.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab AI model gives a 59% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome (home win, draw or away win) in 54.8% of the matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing, a level comparable with the bookmakers' favourite. The comparison with bookmakers and the breakdown by competition and Elo gap are published on the accuracy page.