Ferroviária vs Maringá: prediction and stats
Serie CFinalKick-off on October 24, 2026 at 08:00 PM (UTC)Estádio Doutor Adhemar de Barros, Araraquara, São Paulo
The Footlab AI model makes Ferroviária the favourite at 55%, against 28% for a draw and 17% for Maringá. The most likely score is 1-0.
Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome in 54.5% of the 2,615 matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Oct 17, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Ferroviária vs Maringá?
On Elo ratings, Ferroviária has 1,740 points and Maringá 1,758.
Computed by the Footlab AI model from our own data only, with no AI analysis.
Probable lineup for Ferroviária vs Maringá
Computed by Footlab AI from our own data only: recent lineups, squads and known absences. It does not take the press or last-minute absences into account.
Ferroviária
4-3-3- 11Vitor Barreto
- 99Guilherme Maranhão
- 19M. Thiago
- 29Eduardo Oliveira
- 10Albano
- 18Rafael Carrilho
- 40Zé Vitor
- 44Carlão
- 13Gustavo Medina
- 22Felipe Rodrigues
- 31Dênis Júnior
Maringá
4-3-3- 99Caíque
- 21Ronald Camarão
- 7Edison Negueba
- 23Paulinho
- 8Adeilson Maranhão
- 28Lucas Bonifacio
- 18Jhow Alecxander
- 30Ronald Carvalho
- 6Thiago Rosa
- 3Gabriel Santos
- 25Neto
Computed on October 17, 2026 at 03:51 PM (UTC).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Ferroviária have 7 wins, 4 draws and 4 defeats; Maringá have 7, 6 and 2.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 11, 2026 | Inter De Limeira(home) | 2-0 | Serie C |
| Oct 3, 2026 | Paysandu(away) | 0-1 | Serie C |
| Sep 27, 2026 | Brusque(away) | 1-1 | Serie C |
| Sep 20, 2026 | Brusque(home) | 3-2 | Serie C |
| Sep 13, 2026 | Paysandu(home) | 1-0 | Serie C |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 10, 2026 | Floresta(home) | 2-0 | Serie C |
| Oct 3, 2026 | Santa Cruz(away) | 1-1 | Serie C |
| Sep 26, 2026 | Botafogo PB(away) | 0-0 | Serie C |
| Sep 19, 2026 | Botafogo PB(home) | 2-0 | Serie C |
| Sep 12, 2026 | Santa Cruz(home) | 0-1 | Serie C |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 5 meetings: 1 Ferroviária win, 1 draw, 3 Maringá wins.
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Apr 4, 2026 | Maringá 3-2 Ferroviária | Serie C |
| Jul 15, 2023 | Ferroviária 1-2 Maringá | Serie D |
| May 13, 2023 | Maringá 0-0 Ferroviária | Serie D |
| May 25, 2019 | Ferroviária 0-1 Maringá | Serie D |
| May 18, 2019 | Maringá 0-2 Ferroviária | Serie D |
Last archived meeting: Maringá vs Ferroviária on Apr 4, 2026
How many goals should we expect?
Ferroviária score 1.5 and concede 0.9 goals per match over their last 15; Maringá score 1.3 and concede 0.7. The model gives a 35% probability of over 2.5 goals and 38% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Ferroviária | 1.5 | 0.9 | 6 | 5/15 | 5/15 |
| Maringá | 1.3 | 0.7 | 7 | 6/15 | 4/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Ferroviária sit 1st in Serie C (11 points from 6 matches) and Maringá sit 1st (11 points from 6 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | FerroviáriaGroup A | 6 | 3 | 2 | 1 | 10 | 7 | 11 |
| 1 | MaringáGroup B | 6 | 3 | 2 | 1 | 6 | 2 | 11 |
A question about Ferroviária vs Maringá?
Ask Footlab AI: lineups, absences, player form, stats, how the match could unfold.
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How does Footlab AI compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. When bookmakers publish odds for the match, their consensus is built into the calculation: that is what proved most accurate on past matches. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Ferroviária vs Maringá?
- The Footlab AI model makes Ferroviária the favourite at 55%, against 28% for a draw and 17% for Maringá.
- Where and when is Ferroviária vs Maringá played?
- Ferroviária vs Maringá is played on October 24, 2026 at 08:00 PM (UTC) at Estádio Doutor Adhemar de Barros, in the Serie C.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab AI model gives a 35% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome (home win, draw or away win) in 54.5% of the matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing, a level comparable with the bookmakers' favourite. The comparison with bookmakers and the breakdown by competition and Elo gap are published on the accuracy page.