Ferroviario vs Ceara: result 1-2 and analysis
Cearense - 11st Phase - 2Kick-off on January 26, 2025 at 08:00 PM (UTC)Estádio Municipal Presidente Getúlio Vargas, Fortaleza, Ceará
Full time
What was the result of Ferroviario vs Ceara?
Ceara won 1-2 on January 26, 2025.
Goalscorers
- 10′LourençoCeara
- 15′FernandinhoCeara
- 35′DieguinhoFerroviario (o.g.)
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Ferroviario have 5 wins, 4 draws and 6 defeats; Ceara have 9, 1 and 5.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Jan 23, 2025 | Sport Recife(home) | 1-2 | Copa do Nordeste |
| Jan 19, 2025 | Horizonte(home) | 1-2 | Cearense - 1 |
| Jan 8, 2025 | Treze(home) | 2-0 | Copa do Nordeste |
| Jan 4, 2025 | Santa Cruz RN(home) | 0-0 | Copa do Nordeste |
| Dec 7, 2024 | Floresta(away) | 2-0 | Copa Fares Lopes |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Jan 23, 2025 | Nautico Recife(away) | 0-1 | Copa do Nordeste |
| Jan 18, 2025 | Tirol/CEFAT(home) | 2-1 | Cearense - 1 |
| Nov 24, 2024 | Guarani Campinas(away) | 0-0 | Serie B |
| Nov 19, 2024 | America Mineiro(home) | 1-0 | Serie B |
| Nov 13, 2024 | Botafogo SP(away) | 4-1 | Serie B |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 6 meetings: 2 Ferroviario win(s), 2 draw(s), 2 Ceara win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Mar 16, 2024 | Ceara 1-1 Ferroviario | Cearense - 1 |
| Mar 9, 2024 | Ferroviario 2-3 Ceara | Cearense - 1 |
| Jan 31, 2023 | Ferroviario 1-1 Ceara | Cearense - 1 |
| Jan 22, 2023 | Ferroviario 3-0 Ceara | Copa do Nordeste |
| May 19, 2021 | Ferroviario 0-3 Ceara | Cearense - 1 |
| Mar 10, 2021 | Ferroviario 2-1 Ceara | Cearense - 1 |
How many goals should we expect?
Ferroviario score 1.3 and concede 1.3 goals per match over their last 15; Ceara score 1.5 and concede 0.9.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Ferroviario | 1.3 | 1.3 | 6 | 7/15 | 6/15 |
| Ceara | 1.5 | 0.9 | 6 | 7/15 | 8/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Ferroviario sit 2nd in Cearense - 1 (8 points from 4 matches) and Ceara sit 1st (10 points from 4 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Ceara | 4 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 7 | 2 | 10 |
| 2 | Ferroviario | 4 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 5 | 3 | 8 |
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy