Ferroviario vs Ceara: result 1-5 and analysis
Cearense - 1Championship Group - 1Kick-off on January 25, 2026 at 09:00 PM (UTC)Estádio Municipal Presidente Getúlio Vargas, Fortaleza, Ceará
Full time
What was the result of Ferroviario vs Ceara?
Ceara won 1-5 on January 25, 2026.
Goalscorers
- 6′GilmarCeara
- 37′Matheus AraújoCeara
- 45′Matheus AraújoCeara
- 75′LuccaCeara
- 80′Y. MenaFerroviario
- 85′FernandinhoCeara
Official lineup for Ferroviario vs Ceara
The starting elevens fielded at kick-off.
Ferroviario
- 9Jefinho
- 16Y. Mena
- 17Kiuan Gabriel
- 2Ramires
- 5Luan
- 10Thalisson
- 15Neto Joao
- 3Léo Paraíso
- 4Iago
- 6Pedrinho
- 93Junior Sivaldo
Ceara
- 7Pedro Henrique
- 99Lucca
- 8Matheus Araújo
- 21Alex Silva
- 25Vinicius Zanocelo
- 29Vina
- 31Lucas Lima
- 63Gilmar
- 17Fernando
- 33Éder
- 94Bruno Ferreira
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Ferroviario have 4 wins, 5 draws and 6 defeats; Ceara have 5, 3 and 7.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Jan 22, 2026 | Quixada(away) | 2-1 | Cearense - 1 |
| Jan 16, 2026 | Horizonte(home) | 2-2 | Cearense - 1 |
| Jan 11, 2026 | Fortaleza EC(home) | 0-0 | Cearense - 1 |
| Jan 6, 2026 | Maracanã(away) | 1-0 | Cearense - 1 |
| Nov 27, 2025 | Tirol/CEFAT(away) | 2-3 | Copa Fares Lopes |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Jan 22, 2026 | Tirol/CEFAT(away) | 4-1 | Cearense - 1 |
| Jan 17, 2026 | Iguatu(home) | 1-1 | Cearense - 1 |
| Jan 15, 2026 | Maranguape(home) | 1-0 | Cearense - 1 |
| Jan 10, 2026 | Floresta(away) | 1-0 | Cearense - 1 |
| Dec 7, 2025 | Palmeiras(home) | 1-3 | Serie A |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 6 meetings: 1 Ferroviario win, 2 draws, 3 Ceara wins.
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Jan 26, 2025 | Ferroviario 1-2 Ceara | Cearense - 1 |
| Mar 16, 2024 | Ceara 1-1 Ferroviario | Cearense - 1 |
| Mar 9, 2024 | Ferroviario 2-3 Ceara | Cearense - 1 |
| Jan 31, 2023 | Ferroviario 1-1 Ceara | Cearense - 1 |
| Jan 22, 2023 | Ferroviario 3-0 Ceara | Copa do Nordeste |
| May 19, 2021 | Ferroviario 0-3 Ceara | Cearense - 1 |
How many goals should we expect?
Ferroviario score 0.9 and concede 1.2 goals per match over their last 15; Ceara score 0.9 and concede 1.1.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Ferroviario | 0.9 | 1.2 | 4 | 8/15 | 7/15 |
| Ceara | 0.9 | 1.1 | 4 | 6/15 | 4/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Ferroviario sit 2nd in Cearense - 1 (8 points from 4 matches) and Ceara sit 1st (10 points from 4 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Ceara | 4 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 7 | 2 | 10 |
| 2 | Ferroviario | 4 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 5 | 3 | 8 |
A question about Ferroviario vs Ceara?
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How does Footlab AI compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. When bookmakers publish odds for the match, their consensus is built into the calculation: that is what proved most accurate on past matches. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy