Ferroviario vs Fortaleza EC: result 1-1 and analysis
Cearense - 1Semi-finalsKick-off on March 12, 2023 at 09:30 PM (UTC)Estádio Governador Plácido Aderaldo Castelo, Fortaleza, Ceará
Full time
What was the result of Ferroviario vs Fortaleza EC?
Ferroviario and Fortaleza EC drew 1-1 on March 12, 2023.
Goalscorers
- 39′Felipe GuedesFerroviario
- 89′J. LuceroFortaleza EC
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Ferroviario have 8 wins, 5 draws and 2 defeats; Fortaleza EC have 10, 1 and 4.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 8, 2023 | Santa Cruz(home) | 2-1 | Copa do Nordeste |
| Mar 4, 2023 | Campinense(away) | 3-2 | Copa do Nordeste |
| Feb 28, 2023 | Resende(away) | 2-1 | Copa Do Brasil |
| Feb 25, 2023 | Maracanã(away) | 3-1 | Cearense - 1 |
| Feb 23, 2023 | ABC(home) | 2-2 | Copa do Nordeste |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 9, 2023 | Cerro Porteno(home) | 0-1 | CONMEBOL Libertadores |
| Mar 5, 2023 | Ceara(away) | 0-2 | Copa do Nordeste |
| Mar 3, 2023 | Deportivo Maldonado(home) | 4-0 | CONMEBOL Libertadores |
| Feb 26, 2023 | Nautico Recife(home) | 2-1 | Copa do Nordeste |
| Feb 24, 2023 | Deportivo Maldonado(away) | 0-0 | CONMEBOL Libertadores |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 4 meetings: 1 Ferroviario win(s), 1 draw(s), 2 Fortaleza EC win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Mar 12, 2022 | Fortaleza EC 2-1 Ferroviario | Cearense - 1 |
| Mar 9, 2022 | Ferroviario 0-1 Fortaleza EC | Cearense - 1 |
| May 9, 2021 | Fortaleza EC 0-0 Ferroviario | Cearense - 1 |
| Mar 5, 2020 | Ferroviario 1-0 Fortaleza EC | Cearense - 1 |
Last archived meeting: Fortaleza EC vs Ferroviario on Mar 12, 2022
How many goals should we expect?
Ferroviario score 1.9 and concede 1.0 goals per match over their last 15; Fortaleza EC score 1.8 and concede 0.7.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Ferroviario | 1.9 | 1.0 | 4 | 10/15 | 10/15 |
| Fortaleza EC | 1.8 | 0.7 | 8 | 4/15 | 7/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Ferroviario sit 2nd in Cearense - 1 (8 points from 4 matches) and Fortaleza EC sit 1st (10 points from 4 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Fortaleza EC | 4 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 6 | 0 | 10 |
| 2 | Ferroviario | 4 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 5 | 3 | 8 |
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy