Fiorentina vs AC Milan: result 2-1 and analysis
Serie ARegular Season - 25Kick-off on March 4, 2023 at 07:45 PM (UTC)Stadio Artemio Franchi, Firenze
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What was the result of Fiorentina vs AC Milan?
Fiorentina won 2-1 on March 4, 2023.
Goalscorers
- 49′N. GonzálezFiorentina (pen.)
- 87′L. JovićFiorentina
- 90′T. HernándezAC Milan
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Fiorentina have 7 wins, 4 draws and 4 defeats; AC Milan have 5, 2 and 8.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Feb 27, 2023 | Hellas Verona(away) | 3-0 | Serie A |
| Feb 23, 2023 | SC Braga(home) | 3-2 | UEFA Europa Conference League |
| Feb 19, 2023 | Empoli(home) | 1-1 | Serie A |
| Feb 16, 2023 | SC Braga(away) | 4-0 | UEFA Europa Conference League |
| Feb 12, 2023 | Juventus(away) | 0-1 | Serie A |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Feb 26, 2023 | Atalanta(home) | 2-0 | Serie A |
| Feb 18, 2023 | Monza(away) | 1-0 | Serie A |
| Feb 14, 2023 | Tottenham(home) | 1-0 | UEFA Champions League |
| Feb 10, 2023 | Torino(home) | 1-0 | Serie A |
| Feb 5, 2023 | Inter(away) | 0-1 | Serie A |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 6 meetings: 1 Fiorentina win(s), 1 draw(s), 4 AC Milan win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Nov 13, 2022 | AC Milan 2-1 Fiorentina | Serie A |
| May 1, 2022 | AC Milan 1-0 Fiorentina | Serie A |
| Nov 20, 2021 | Fiorentina 4-3 AC Milan | Serie A |
| Mar 21, 2021 | Fiorentina 2-3 AC Milan | Serie A |
| Nov 29, 2020 | AC Milan 2-0 Fiorentina | Serie A |
| Feb 22, 2020 | Fiorentina 1-1 AC Milan | Serie A |
Last archived meeting: AC Milan vs Fiorentina on Nov 13, 2022
How many goals should we expect?
Fiorentina score 1.7 and concede 1.0 goals per match over their last 15; AC Milan score 1.0 and concede 1.9.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Fiorentina | 1.7 | 1.0 | 3 | 9/15 | 7/15 |
| AC Milan | 1.0 | 1.9 | 4 | 6/15 | 9/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Fiorentina sit 15th in Serie A (42 points from 38 matches) and AC Milan sit 5th (70 points from 38 matches).
The current season has no played match yet: final standings of the 2025-26 season.
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5 | AC Milan | 38 | 20 | 10 | 8 | 53 | 35 | 70 |
| 15 | Fiorentina | 38 | 9 | 15 | 14 | 41 | 50 | 42 |
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy