Fiorenzuola vs Rovato Vertovese: prediction and stats
Serie D - Girone BGroup B - 9Kick-off on October 25, 2026 at 01:30 PM (UTC)Stadio Comunale, Fiorenzuola d'Arda
The Footlab model makes Rovato Vertovese the favourite at 42%, against 31% for a draw and 27% for Fiorenzuola. The most likely score is 1-1.
This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Aug 26, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Fiorenzuola vs Rovato Vertovese?
Rovato Vertovese starts as the favourite with a 204-point Elo edge (1,756 vs 1,552).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Fiorenzuola have 4 wins, 2 draws and 9 defeats; Rovato Vertovese have 6, 6 and 3.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 8, 2026 | Brusaporto(away) | 0-1 | Friendlies Clubs |
| May 4, 2025 | Prato(home) | 3-0 | Serie D - Girone D |
| Apr 27, 2025 | Tuttocuoio(away) | 0-0 | Serie D - Girone D |
| Apr 17, 2025 | Lentigione(home) | 0-1 | Serie D - Girone D |
| Apr 13, 2025 | Ravenna(away) | 0-3 | Serie D - Girone D |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 8, 2026 | Ospitaletto(home) | 2-2 | Friendlies Clubs |
| May 3, 2026 | Imolese(away) | 0-1 | Serie D - Girone D |
| Apr 26, 2026 | Sangiuliano City(home) | 2-0 | Serie D - Girone D |
| Apr 19, 2026 | Sasso Marconi Zola(away) | 1-2 | Serie D - Girone D |
| Apr 12, 2026 | Cittadella Vis Modena(away) | 0-0 | Serie D - Girone D |
How many goals should we expect?
Fiorenzuola score 0.7 and concede 1.3 goals per match over their last 15; Rovato Vertovese score 1.1 and concede 0.7. The model gives a 36% probability of over 2.5 goals and 43% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Fiorenzuola | 0.7 | 1.3 | 4 | 4/15 | 6/15 |
| Rovato Vertovese | 1.1 | 0.7 | 7 | 6/15 | 4/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Verdict, probable XI and verified absences
The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.
Open the full match card in the app
No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Fiorenzuola vs Rovato Vertovese?
- The Footlab model makes Rovato Vertovese the favourite at 42%, against 31% for a draw and 27% for Fiorenzuola.
- Where and when is Fiorenzuola vs Rovato Vertovese played?
- Fiorenzuola vs Rovato Vertovese is played on October 25, 2026 at 01:30 PM (UTC) at Stadio Comunale, in the Serie D - Girone B.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab model gives a 36% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.
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