Where and when is Tritium vs Virtus Ciserano Bergamo played?

Tritium vs Virtus Ciserano Bergamo is played on October 25, 2026 at 01:30 PM (UTC) at Stadio Comunale La Rocca, in the Serie D - Girone B.

Will there be over 2.5 goals?

The Footlab model gives a 39% probability of at least three goals in this match.

How reliable is this prediction?

The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.

Match

Tritium vs Virtus Ciserano Bergamo: prediction and stats

Serie D - Girone BGroup B - 9Kick-off on October 25, 2026 at 01:30 PM (UTC)Stadio Comunale La Rocca, Trezzo sull'Adda

Tritium

Virtus Ciserano Bergamo

The Footlab model makes Virtus Ciserano Bergamo the favourite at 36%, against 30% for a draw and 34% for Tritium. The most likely score is 1-1.

This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy

Probabilities recomputed on Aug 26, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.

Who will win Tritium vs Virtus Ciserano Bergamo?

Virtus Ciserano Bergamo starts as the favourite with a 146-point Elo edge (1,691 vs 1,545).

Tritium win34 %

Draw30 %

Virtus Ciserano Bergamo win36 %

What is the recent form of both teams?

Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Tritium have 2 wins, 3 draws and 10 defeats; Virtus Ciserano Bergamo have 3, 7 and 5.

The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.

Tritium
Date	Opponent	Score	Competition
May 5, 2024	Pro Palazzolo(home)	2-4	Serie D - Girone B
Apr 28, 2024	Club Milano(away)	1-1	Serie D - Girone B
Apr 21, 2024	Desenzano Calvina(home)	0-2	Serie D - Girone B
Apr 14, 2024	Caravaggio(away)	2-3	Serie D - Girone B
Apr 7, 2024	Arconatese(home)	0-1	Serie D - Girone B

Virtus Ciserano Bergamo
Date	Opponent	Score	Competition
May 3, 2026	Castellanzese(home)	1-1	Serie D - Girone B
Apr 26, 2026	Pavia(away)	0-3	Serie D - Girone B
Apr 19, 2026	Vogherese(home)	6-1	Serie D - Girone B
Apr 12, 2026	Villa Valle(away)	1-1	Serie D - Girone B
Apr 2, 2026	Varesina(home)	1-2	Serie D - Girone B

What does the head-to-head say?

Across the last 3 meetings: 1 Tritium win(s), 0 draw(s), 2 Virtus Ciserano Bergamo win(s).

Date	Score	Competition
Mar 17, 2024	Tritium 0-2 Virtus Ciserano Bergamo	Serie D - Girone B
Nov 5, 2023	Virtus Ciserano Bergamo 3-0 Tritium	Serie D - Girone B
Nov 10, 2019	Virtus Ciserano Bergamo 0-1 Tritium	Serie D - Girone B

Last archived meeting: Tritium vs Virtus Ciserano Bergamo on Mar 17, 2024

How many goals should we expect?

Tritium score 0.7 and concede 1.6 goals per match over their last 15; Virtus Ciserano Bergamo score 0.9 and concede 1.1. The model gives a 39% probability of over 2.5 goals and 47% for both teams to score.

Club	Goals scored / match	Goals conceded / match	Clean sheets	Both teams scored	Over 2.5 goals
Tritium	0.7	1.6	2	5/15	4/15
Virtus Ciserano Bergamo	0.9	1.1	4	7/15	4/15

Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.

Where do both teams sit in the table?

The current season has no played match yet: final standings of the 2025-26 season.

Final 2025-26 standings
#	Club	P	W	D	L	GF	GA	Pts
10	Virtus Ciserano Bergamo	34	11	13	10	33	31	46

Verdict, probable XI and verified absences

The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.

Open the full match card in the app

No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.

How does Footlab compute this prediction?

The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite for Tritium vs Virtus Ciserano Bergamo?: The Footlab model makes Virtus Ciserano Bergamo the favourite at 36%, against 30% for a draw and 34% for Tritium.
Where and when is Tritium vs Virtus Ciserano Bergamo played?: Tritium vs Virtus Ciserano Bergamo is played on October 25, 2026 at 01:30 PM (UTC) at Stadio Comunale La Rocca, in the Serie D - Girone B.
Will there be over 2.5 goals?: The Footlab model gives a 39% probability of at least three goals in this match.
How reliable is this prediction?: The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.