Real Calepina vs Pavonese: prediction and stats
Serie D - Girone BGroup B - 9Kick-off on October 25, 2026 at 01:30 PM (UTC)Campo Sportivo Comunale Libico, Grumello del Monte
The Footlab AI model makes Real Calepina the favourite at 44%, against 27% for a draw and 29% for Pavonese. The most likely score is 1-1. If Real Calepina wins, the most likely score is 1-0.
Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome in 54.4% of the 2,805 matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Oct 19, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Real Calepina vs Pavonese?
A very open match: only 9 Elo points separate Real Calepina (1,697) and Pavonese (1,706).
Computed by the Footlab AI model from our own data only, with no AI analysis.
Probable lineup for Real Calepina vs Pavonese
Computed by Footlab AI from our own data only: recent lineups, squads and known absences. It does not take the press or last-minute absences into account.
Real Calepina
Not enough data to predict the Real Calepina lineup.
Pavonese
Not enough data to predict the Pavonese lineup.
Computed on October 19, 2026 at 02:06 PM (UTC).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Real Calepina have 4 wins, 5 draws and 6 defeats; Pavonese have 3, 1 and 3.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 18, 2026 | Club Milano(away) | 2-1 | Serie D - Girone B |
| Oct 11, 2026 | Villa Valle(home) | 0-3 | Serie D - Girone B |
| Oct 7, 2026 | Leon Monza e Brianza(home) | 0-2 | Coppa Italia Serie D |
| Oct 4, 2026 | Rovato Vertovese(away) | 1-0 | Serie D - Girone B |
| Sep 27, 2026 | Brusaporto(home) | 2-3 | Serie D - Girone B |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 18, 2026 | Fiorenzuola(home) | 2-1 | Serie D - Girone B |
| Oct 11, 2026 | Leon Monza e Brianza(away) | 0-3 | Serie D - Girone B |
| Sep 27, 2026 | Virtus Verona(away) | 1-0 | Serie D - Girone B |
| Sep 20, 2026 | Tritium(home) | 3-2 | Serie D - Girone B |
| Sep 16, 2026 | Virtus Ciserano Bergamo(away) | 1-1 | Serie D - Girone B |
How many goals should we expect?
Real Calepina score 1.2 and concede 1.6 goals per match over their last 15; Pavonese score 1.0 and concede 1.4. The model gives a 49% probability of over 2.5 goals and 53% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Real Calepina | 1.2 | 1.6 | 3 | 9/15 | 7/15 |
| Pavonese | 1.0 | 1.4 | 1 | 3/7 | 3/7 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Real Calepina sit 12th in Serie D - Girone B (8 points from 7 matches) and Pavonese sit 15th (7 points from 6 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 | Real Calepina | 7 | 2 | 2 | 3 | 11 | 12 | 8 |
| 15 | Pavonese | 6 | 2 | 1 | 3 | 5 | 9 | 7 |
A question about Real Calepina vs Pavonese?
Ask Footlab AI: lineups, absences, player form, stats, how the match could unfold.
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How does Footlab AI compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. When bookmakers publish odds for the match, their consensus is built into the calculation: that is what proved most accurate on past matches. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Real Calepina vs Pavonese?
- The Footlab AI model makes Real Calepina the favourite at 44%, against 27% for a draw and 29% for Pavonese.
- Where and when is Real Calepina vs Pavonese played?
- Real Calepina vs Pavonese is played on October 25, 2026 at 01:30 PM (UTC) at Campo Sportivo Comunale Libico, in the Serie D - Girone B.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab AI model gives a 49% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome (home win, draw or away win) in 54.4% of the matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing, a level comparable with the bookmakers' favourite. The comparison with bookmakers and the breakdown by competition and Elo gap are published on the accuracy page.
Other matches in the same round
- Oct 24, 2026Caldiero TermevsBrusaporto
- Oct 25, 2026ScanzorosciatevsVilla Valle
- Oct 25, 2026TritiumvsVirtus Ciserano Bergamo
- Oct 25, 2026FiorenzuolavsRovato Vertovese
- Oct 25, 2026Leon Monza e BrianzavsChievo
- Oct 25, 2026Pro PalazzolovsPiacenza
- Oct 25, 2026Milan IIvsClub Milano
- Oct 25, 2026Nibbiano & ValtidonevsVirtus Verona