Match

Leon Monza e Brianza vs Chievo: prediction and stats

Serie D - Girone BGroup B - 9Kick-off on October 25, 2026 at 01:30 PM (UTC)

Leon Monza e BrianzaChievo

The Footlab model makes Chievo the favourite at 41%, against 26% for a draw and 33% for Leon Monza e Brianza. The most likely score is 1-1.

This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy

Probabilities recomputed on Aug 24, 2026 — the full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.

Who will win Leon Monza e Brianza vs Chievo?

A very open match: only 73 Elo points separate Leon Monza e Brianza (1,712) and Chievo (1,785).

Leon Monza e Brianza win33 %
Draw26 %
Chievo win41 %

What is the recent form of both teams?

Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Leon Monza e Brianza have 8 wins, 2 draws and 5 defeats; Chievo have 9, 2 and 4.

The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.

Leon Monza e Brianza
DateOpponentScoreCompetition
May 10, 2026USD Casatese(away)0-4Serie D - Girone B
May 3, 2026USD Casatese(away)0-1Serie D - Girone B
Apr 26, 2026Chievo(home)2-2Serie D - Girone B
Apr 19, 2026Scanzorosciate(away)0-0Serie D - Girone B
Apr 12, 2026Castellanzese(away)0-1Serie D - Girone B
Chievo
DateOpponentScoreCompetition
May 17, 2026USD Casatese(away)3-2Serie D - Girone B
May 10, 2026Milan II(home)2-1Serie D - Girone B
May 3, 2026Pavia(home)2-1Serie D - Girone B
Apr 26, 2026Leon Monza e Brianza(away)2-2Serie D - Girone B
Apr 19, 2026Castellanzese(home)2-2Serie D - Girone B

What does the head-to-head say?

Across the last 2 meetings: 1 Leon Monza e Brianza win(s), 1 draw(s), 0 Chievo win(s).

DateScoreCompetition
Apr 26, 2026Leon Monza e Brianza 2-2 ChievoSerie D - Girone B
Dec 14, 2025Chievo 0-2 Leon Monza e BrianzaSerie D - Girone B

Last archived meeting: Leon Monza e Brianza vs Chievo on Apr 26, 2026

How many goals should we expect?

Leon Monza e Brianza score 1.4 and concede 1.3 goals per match over their last 15; Chievo score 1.7 and concede 1.5. The model gives a 56% probability of over 2.5 goals and 60% for both teams to score.

ClubGoals scored / matchGoals conceded / matchClean sheetsBoth teams scoredOver 2.5 goals
Leon Monza e Brianza1.41.347/159/15
Chievo1.71.549/1510/15

Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.

Where do both teams sit in the table?

Leon Monza e Brianza sit 5th in Serie D - Girone B (53 points from 34 matches) and Chievo sit 3rd (60 points from 34 matches).

The current season has no played match yet: final standings of the 2025-26 season.

Final 2025-26 standings
#ClubPWDLGFGAPts
3Chievo3418610524360
5Leon Monza e Brianza3414119443453

Verdict, probable XI and verified absences

The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.

Open the full match card in the app

No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.

How does Footlab compute this prediction?

The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite for Leon Monza e Brianza vs Chievo?
The Footlab model makes Chievo the favourite at 41%, against 26% for a draw and 33% for Leon Monza e Brianza.
Where and when is Leon Monza e Brianza vs Chievo played?
Leon Monza e Brianza vs Chievo is played on October 25, 2026 at 01:30 PM (UTC), in the Serie D - Girone B.
Will there be over 2.5 goals?
The Footlab model gives a 56% probability of at least three goals in this match.
How reliable is this prediction?
The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.

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Next match: Leon Monza e Brianza and Chievo

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