Leon Monza e Brianza vs Chievo: prediction and stats
Serie D - Girone BGroup B - 9Kick-off on October 25, 2026 at 01:30 PM (UTC)
The Footlab model makes Chievo the favourite at 41%, against 26% for a draw and 33% for Leon Monza e Brianza. The most likely score is 1-1.
This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Aug 24, 2026 — the full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Leon Monza e Brianza vs Chievo?
A very open match: only 73 Elo points separate Leon Monza e Brianza (1,712) and Chievo (1,785).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Leon Monza e Brianza have 8 wins, 2 draws and 5 defeats; Chievo have 9, 2 and 4.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| May 10, 2026 | USD Casatese(away) | 0-4 | Serie D - Girone B |
| May 3, 2026 | USD Casatese(away) | 0-1 | Serie D - Girone B |
| Apr 26, 2026 | Chievo(home) | 2-2 | Serie D - Girone B |
| Apr 19, 2026 | Scanzorosciate(away) | 0-0 | Serie D - Girone B |
| Apr 12, 2026 | Castellanzese(away) | 0-1 | Serie D - Girone B |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| May 17, 2026 | USD Casatese(away) | 3-2 | Serie D - Girone B |
| May 10, 2026 | Milan II(home) | 2-1 | Serie D - Girone B |
| May 3, 2026 | Pavia(home) | 2-1 | Serie D - Girone B |
| Apr 26, 2026 | Leon Monza e Brianza(away) | 2-2 | Serie D - Girone B |
| Apr 19, 2026 | Castellanzese(home) | 2-2 | Serie D - Girone B |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 2 meetings: 1 Leon Monza e Brianza win(s), 1 draw(s), 0 Chievo win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Apr 26, 2026 | Leon Monza e Brianza 2-2 Chievo | Serie D - Girone B |
| Dec 14, 2025 | Chievo 0-2 Leon Monza e Brianza | Serie D - Girone B |
Last archived meeting: Leon Monza e Brianza vs Chievo on Apr 26, 2026
How many goals should we expect?
Leon Monza e Brianza score 1.4 and concede 1.3 goals per match over their last 15; Chievo score 1.7 and concede 1.5. The model gives a 56% probability of over 2.5 goals and 60% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Leon Monza e Brianza | 1.4 | 1.3 | 4 | 7/15 | 9/15 |
| Chievo | 1.7 | 1.5 | 4 | 9/15 | 10/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Leon Monza e Brianza sit 5th in Serie D - Girone B (53 points from 34 matches) and Chievo sit 3rd (60 points from 34 matches).
The current season has no played match yet: final standings of the 2025-26 season.
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 | Chievo | 34 | 18 | 6 | 10 | 52 | 43 | 60 |
| 5 | Leon Monza e Brianza | 34 | 14 | 11 | 9 | 44 | 34 | 53 |
Verdict, probable XI and verified absences
The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.
Open the full match card in the app
No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Leon Monza e Brianza vs Chievo?
- The Footlab model makes Chievo the favourite at 41%, against 26% for a draw and 33% for Leon Monza e Brianza.
- Where and when is Leon Monza e Brianza vs Chievo played?
- Leon Monza e Brianza vs Chievo is played on October 25, 2026 at 01:30 PM (UTC), in the Serie D - Girone B.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab model gives a 56% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.
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