Fittja vs Nyköping: prediction and stats
Division 2 - Södra SvealandSödra Svealand - 26Kick-off on October 18, 2026 at 12:00 PM (UTC)
The Footlab model makes Fittja the favourite at 44%, against 26% for a draw and 30% for Nyköping. The most likely score is 1-1.
This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Aug 24, 2026 — the full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Fittja vs Nyköping?
A very open match: only 46 Elo points separate Fittja (1,484) and Nyköping (1,530).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Fittja have 9 wins, 1 draws and 5 defeats; Nyköping have 8, 3 and 4.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 23, 2026 | Eker Örebro(away) | 2-0 | Division 2 - Södra Svealand |
| Aug 16, 2026 | Rågsved(home) | 1-0 | Division 2 - Södra Svealand |
| Aug 9, 2026 | Lindo FF(away) | 3-2 | Division 2 - Södra Svealand |
| Aug 2, 2026 | Haninge(home) | 0-2 | Division 2 - Södra Svealand |
| Jun 28, 2026 | Karlslund(away) | 2-2 | Division 2 - Södra Svealand |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 22, 2026 | Haninge(away) | 2-2 | Division 2 - Södra Svealand |
| Aug 14, 2026 | Farsta(away) | 0-3 | Division 2 - Södra Svealand |
| Aug 9, 2026 | Sleipner(home) | 1-0 | Division 2 - Södra Svealand |
| Aug 2, 2026 | Forward(away) | 0-1 | Division 2 - Södra Svealand |
| Jun 25, 2026 | Nacka Iliria(home) | 4-1 | Division 2 - Södra Svealand |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 1 meetings: 1 Fittja win(s), 0 draw(s), 0 Nyköping win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Jun 6, 2026 | Nyköping 0-2 Fittja | Division 2 - Södra Svealand |
How many goals should we expect?
Fittja score 2.1 and concede 1.8 goals per match over their last 15; Nyköping score 1.3 and concede 0.9. The model gives a 55% probability of over 2.5 goals and 58% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Fittja | 2.1 | 1.8 | 4 | 9/15 | 10/15 |
| Nyköping | 1.3 | 0.9 | 5 | 6/15 | 5/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Fittja sit 8th in Division 2 - Södra Svealand (19 points from 12 matches) and Nyköping sit 1st (25 points from 12 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Nyköping | 12 | 8 | 1 | 3 | 22 | 10 | 25 |
| 4 | Nyköping | 18 | 10 | 3 | 5 | 30 | 18 | 33 |
| 7 | Fittja | 18 | 9 | 2 | 7 | 33 | 31 | 29 |
| 8 | Fittja | 12 | 6 | 1 | 5 | 24 | 22 | 19 |
Verdict, probable XI and verified absences
The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.
Open the full match card in the app
No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Fittja vs Nyköping?
- The Footlab model makes Fittja the favourite at 44%, against 26% for a draw and 30% for Nyköping.
- Where and when is Fittja vs Nyköping played?
- Fittja vs Nyköping is played on October 18, 2026 at 12:00 PM (UTC), in the Division 2 - Södra Svealand.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab model gives a 55% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.