Karlslund vs Rågsved: prediction and stats
Division 2 - Södra SvealandSödra Svealand - 26Kick-off on October 18, 2026 at 12:00 PM (UTC)Karlslund Arena, Örebro
The Footlab model makes Karlslund the favourite at 40%, against 26% for a draw and 34% for Rågsved. The most likely score is 1-1.
This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Aug 24, 2026 — the full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Karlslund vs Rågsved?
Rågsved starts as the favourite with a 137-point Elo edge (1,501 vs 1,364).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Karlslund have 4 wins, 4 draws and 7 defeats; Rågsved have 5, 3 and 7.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 22, 2026 | Lindo FF(away) | 1-0 | Division 2 - Södra Svealand |
| Aug 15, 2026 | Haninge(home) | 3-0 | Division 2 - Södra Svealand |
| Aug 8, 2026 | Smedby(home) | 1-1 | Division 2 - Södra Svealand |
| Aug 2, 2026 | Sleipner(away) | 2-4 | Division 2 - Södra Svealand |
| Jun 28, 2026 | Fittja(home) | 2-2 | Division 2 - Södra Svealand |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 22, 2026 | Sleipner(home) | 0-4 | Division 2 - Södra Svealand |
| Aug 16, 2026 | Fittja(away) | 0-1 | Division 2 - Södra Svealand |
| Aug 8, 2026 | Syrianska FC(home) | 2-1 | Division 2 - Södra Svealand |
| Jul 31, 2026 | Farsta(away) | 1-1 | Division 2 - Södra Svealand |
| Jun 28, 2026 | Forward(home) | 1-2 | Division 2 - Södra Svealand |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 3 meetings: 1 Karlslund win(s), 1 draw(s), 1 Rågsved win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| May 2, 2026 | Rågsved 3-1 Karlslund | Division 2 - Södra Svealand |
| Aug 20, 2023 | Karlslund 2-1 Rågsved | Division 2 - Södra Svealand |
| Apr 22, 2023 | Rågsved 1-1 Karlslund | Division 2 - Södra Svealand |
How many goals should we expect?
Karlslund score 1.3 and concede 1.7 goals per match over their last 15; Rågsved score 1.8 and concede 1.9. The model gives a 56% probability of over 2.5 goals and 60% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Karlslund | 1.3 | 1.7 | 4 | 10/15 | 10/15 |
| Rågsved | 1.8 | 1.9 | 1 | 10/15 | 10/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Karlslund sit 13th in Division 2 - Södra Svealand (9 points from 12 matches) and Rågsved sit 7th (21 points from 12 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 7 | Rågsved | 12 | 6 | 3 | 3 | 27 | 19 | 21 |
| 8 | Rågsved | 18 | 7 | 5 | 6 | 33 | 30 | 26 |
| 9 | Karlslund | 18 | 5 | 5 | 8 | 22 | 28 | 20 |
| 13 | Karlslund | 12 | 2 | 3 | 7 | 12 | 21 | 9 |
Verdict, probable XI and verified absences
The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.
Open the full match card in the app
No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Karlslund vs Rågsved?
- The Footlab model makes Karlslund the favourite at 40%, against 26% for a draw and 34% for Rågsved.
- Where and when is Karlslund vs Rågsved played?
- Karlslund vs Rågsved is played on October 18, 2026 at 12:00 PM (UTC) at Karlslund Arena, in the Division 2 - Södra Svealand.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab model gives a 56% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.