FK Jablonec vs Pardubice: prediction and stats
Czech LigaRegular Season - 16Kick-off on November 28, 2026 at 02:00 PM (UTC)Stadion Střelnice, Jablonec nad Nisou
The Footlab model makes FK Jablonec the favourite at 53%, against 25% for a draw and 22% for Pardubice. The most likely score is 1-1.
This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Aug 24, 2026 — the full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win FK Jablonec vs Pardubice?
FK Jablonec starts as the favourite with a 142-point Elo edge (2,012 vs 1,870).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, FK Jablonec have 9 wins, 2 draws and 4 defeats; Pardubice have 5, 4 and 6.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 20, 2026 | Rangers(away) | 0-1 | UEFA Europa Conference League |
| Aug 13, 2026 | Rīgas FS(away) | 2-1 | UEFA Europa Conference League |
| Aug 9, 2026 | Slovácko(home) | 1-0 | Czech Liga |
| Aug 6, 2026 | Rīgas FS(home) | 2-0 | UEFA Europa Conference League |
| Aug 2, 2026 | Pardubice(away) | 2-0 | Czech Liga |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 23, 2026 | Sigma Olomouc(away) | 1-3 | Czech Liga |
| Aug 15, 2026 | Mlada Boleslav(home) | 1-1 | Czech Liga |
| Aug 9, 2026 | Slavia Praha(away) | 1-2 | Czech Liga |
| Aug 2, 2026 | FK Jablonec(home) | 0-2 | Czech Liga |
| Jul 26, 2026 | Hradec Králové(away) | 1-2 | Czech Liga |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 6 meetings: 5 FK Jablonec win(s), 0 draw(s), 1 Pardubice win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Aug 2, 2026 | Pardubice 0-2 FK Jablonec | Czech Liga |
| Feb 15, 2026 | Pardubice 0-2 FK Jablonec | Czech Liga |
| Sep 14, 2025 | FK Jablonec 3-2 Pardubice | Czech Liga |
| Apr 13, 2025 | FK Jablonec 1-0 Pardubice | Czech Liga |
| Nov 9, 2024 | Pardubice 2-0 FK Jablonec | Czech Liga |
| May 16, 2024 | FK Jablonec 3-0 Pardubice | Czech Liga |
Last archived meeting: Pardubice vs FK Jablonec on Aug 2, 2026
How many goals should we expect?
FK Jablonec score 1.3 and concede 1.1 goals per match over their last 15; Pardubice score 1.5 and concede 1.5. The model gives a 51% probability of over 2.5 goals and 53% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| FK Jablonec | 1.3 | 1.1 | 6 | 7/15 | 7/15 |
| Pardubice | 1.5 | 1.5 | 2 | 11/15 | 10/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
FK Jablonec sit 6th in Czech Liga (9 points from 3 matches) and Pardubice sit 13th (1 points from 5 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 6 | FK Jablonec | 3 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 5 | 1 | 9 |
| 13 | Pardubice | 5 | 0 | 1 | 4 | 4 | 10 | 1 |
Verdict, probable XI and verified absences
The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.
Open the full match card in the app
No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for FK Jablonec vs Pardubice?
- The Footlab model makes FK Jablonec the favourite at 53%, against 25% for a draw and 22% for Pardubice.
- Where and when is FK Jablonec vs Pardubice played?
- FK Jablonec vs Pardubice is played on November 28, 2026 at 02:00 PM (UTC) at Stadion Střelnice, in the Czech Liga.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab model gives a 51% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.