Mlada Boleslav vs Sigma Olomouc: prediction and stats
Czech LigaRegular Season - 16Kick-off on November 28, 2026 at 02:00 PM (UTC)Lokotrans Aréna, Mladá Boleslav
The Footlab model makes Mlada Boleslav the favourite at 42%, against 26% for a draw and 32% for Sigma Olomouc. The most likely score is 1-1.
This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Aug 24, 2026 — the full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Mlada Boleslav vs Sigma Olomouc?
A very open match: only 12 Elo points separate Mlada Boleslav (1,970) and Sigma Olomouc (1,982).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Mlada Boleslav have 8 wins, 4 draws and 3 defeats; Sigma Olomouc have 10, 2 and 3.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 22, 2026 | Slovácko(home) | 2-1 | Czech Liga |
| Aug 15, 2026 | Pardubice(away) | 1-1 | Czech Liga |
| Aug 8, 2026 | Sparta Praha(home) | 2-0 | Czech Liga |
| Aug 2, 2026 | Sigma Olomouc(away) | 2-2 | Czech Liga |
| Jul 27, 2026 | Artis(away) | 4-2 | Czech Liga |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 23, 2026 | Pardubice(home) | 3-1 | Czech Liga |
| Aug 15, 2026 | Slovácko(away) | 2-1 | Czech Liga |
| Aug 9, 2026 | Artis(away) | 2-1 | Czech Liga |
| Aug 2, 2026 | Mlada Boleslav(home) | 2-2 | Czech Liga |
| Jul 26, 2026 | FK Jablonec(away) | 1-2 | Czech Liga |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 6 meetings: 2 Mlada Boleslav win(s), 1 draw(s), 3 Sigma Olomouc win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Aug 2, 2026 | Sigma Olomouc 2-2 Mlada Boleslav | Czech Liga |
| Apr 4, 2026 | Sigma Olomouc 2-4 Mlada Boleslav | Czech Liga |
| Nov 2, 2025 | Mlada Boleslav 1-4 Sigma Olomouc | Czech Liga |
| Dec 15, 2024 | Mlada Boleslav 1-3 Sigma Olomouc | Czech Liga |
| Aug 18, 2024 | Sigma Olomouc 3-2 Mlada Boleslav | Czech Liga |
| Mar 16, 2024 | Mlada Boleslav 2-1 Sigma Olomouc | Czech Liga |
Last archived meeting: Sigma Olomouc vs Mlada Boleslav on Aug 2, 2026
How many goals should we expect?
Mlada Boleslav score 2.0 and concede 1.0 goals per match over their last 15; Sigma Olomouc score 1.9 and concede 1.1. The model gives a 53% probability of over 2.5 goals and 57% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mlada Boleslav | 2.0 | 1.0 | 6 | 7/15 | 9/15 |
| Sigma Olomouc | 1.9 | 1.1 | 3 | 12/15 | 13/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Mlada Boleslav sit 2nd in Czech Liga (11 points from 5 matches) and Sigma Olomouc sit 3rd (10 points from 5 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | Mlada Boleslav | 5 | 3 | 2 | 0 | 11 | 6 | 11 |
| 3 | Sigma Olomouc | 5 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 10 | 7 | 10 |
Verdict, probable XI and verified absences
The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.
Open the full match card in the app
No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Mlada Boleslav vs Sigma Olomouc?
- The Footlab model makes Mlada Boleslav the favourite at 42%, against 26% for a draw and 32% for Sigma Olomouc.
- Where and when is Mlada Boleslav vs Sigma Olomouc played?
- Mlada Boleslav vs Sigma Olomouc is played on November 28, 2026 at 02:00 PM (UTC) at Lokotrans Aréna, in the Czech Liga.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab model gives a 53% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.