Slavia Praha vs Baník Ostrava: prediction and stats
Czech LigaRegular Season - 16Kick-off on November 28, 2026 at 02:00 PM (UTC)Andrův stadion, Olomouc
The Footlab model makes Slavia Praha the favourite at 67%, against 19% for a draw and 13% for Baník Ostrava. The most likely score is 2-0.
This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Aug 26, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Slavia Praha vs Baník Ostrava?
Slavia Praha starts as the favourite with a 256-point Elo edge (2,174 vs 1,918).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Slavia Praha have 8 wins, 4 draws and 3 defeats; Baník Ostrava have 8, 1 and 6.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 22, 2026 | Bohemians 1905(home) | 2-2 | Czech Liga |
| Aug 16, 2026 | Slovan Liberec(away) | 1-1 | Czech Liga |
| Aug 9, 2026 | Pardubice(home) | 2-1 | Czech Liga |
| Aug 1, 2026 | Baník Ostrava(away) | 4-0 | Czech Liga |
| Jul 26, 2026 | Slovácko(home) | 5-1 | Czech Liga |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 16, 2026 | Artis(home) | 1-0 | Czech Liga |
| Aug 9, 2026 | Hradec Králové(away) | 1-2 | Czech Liga |
| Aug 1, 2026 | Slavia Praha(home) | 0-4 | Czech Liga |
| Jul 25, 2026 | Zlin(away) | 1-0 | Czech Liga |
| Jul 18, 2026 | AS Trencin(away) | 2-3 | Friendlies Clubs |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 6 meetings: 6 Slavia Praha win(s), 0 draw(s), 0 Baník Ostrava win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Aug 1, 2026 | Baník Ostrava 0-4 Slavia Praha | Czech Liga |
| Apr 5, 2026 | Baník Ostrava 0-2 Slavia Praha | Czech Liga |
| Nov 1, 2025 | Slavia Praha 2-0 Baník Ostrava | Czech Liga |
| May 24, 2025 | Slavia Praha 3-0 Baník Ostrava | Czech Liga |
| Feb 16, 2025 | Slavia Praha 1-0 Baník Ostrava | Czech Liga |
| Dec 5, 2024 | Baník Ostrava 0-1 Slavia Praha | Czech Liga |
Last archived meeting: Baník Ostrava vs Slavia Praha on Aug 1, 2026
How many goals should we expect?
Slavia Praha score 2.2 and concede 1.1 goals per match over their last 15; Baník Ostrava score 1.8 and concede 1.1. The model gives a 64% probability of over 2.5 goals and 56% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Slavia Praha | 2.2 | 1.1 | 3 | 11/15 | 11/15 |
| Baník Ostrava | 1.8 | 1.1 | 7 | 6/15 | 10/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Slavia Praha sit 1st in Czech Liga (11 points from 5 matches) and Baník Ostrava sit 10th (6 points from 4 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Slavia Praha | 5 | 3 | 2 | 0 | 14 | 5 | 11 |
| 10 | Baník Ostrava | 4 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 3 | 6 | 6 |
Verdict, probable XI and verified absences
The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.
Open the full match card in the app
No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Slavia Praha vs Baník Ostrava?
- The Footlab model makes Slavia Praha the favourite at 67%, against 19% for a draw and 13% for Baník Ostrava.
- Where and when is Slavia Praha vs Baník Ostrava played?
- Slavia Praha vs Baník Ostrava is played on November 28, 2026 at 02:00 PM (UTC) at Andrův stadion, in the Czech Liga.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab model gives a 64% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.