FK Jablonec vs Zlin: prediction and stats
Czech LigaRegular Season - 9Kick-off on September 19, 2026 at 01:00 PM (UTC)Stadion Střelnice, Jablonec nad Nisou
The Footlab model makes FK Jablonec the favourite at 66%, against 21% for a draw and 14% for Zlin. The most likely score is 2-0.
This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Aug 24, 2026 — the full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win FK Jablonec vs Zlin?
FK Jablonec starts as the favourite with a 205-point Elo edge (2,012 vs 1,806).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, FK Jablonec have 9 wins, 2 draws and 4 defeats; Zlin have 4, 1 and 10.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 20, 2026 | Rangers(away) | 0-1 | UEFA Europa Conference League |
| Aug 13, 2026 | Rīgas FS(away) | 2-1 | UEFA Europa Conference League |
| Aug 9, 2026 | Slovácko(home) | 1-0 | Czech Liga |
| Aug 6, 2026 | Rīgas FS(home) | 2-0 | UEFA Europa Conference League |
| Aug 2, 2026 | Pardubice(away) | 2-0 | Czech Liga |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 22, 2026 | Slovan Liberec(home) | 0-1 | Czech Liga |
| Aug 15, 2026 | Plzen(away) | 2-3 | Czech Liga |
| Aug 8, 2026 | Bohemians 1905(home) | 0-2 | Czech Liga |
| Jul 31, 2026 | Sparta Praha(away) | 1-3 | Czech Liga |
| Jul 25, 2026 | Baník Ostrava(home) | 0-1 | Czech Liga |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 6 meetings: 2 FK Jablonec win(s), 3 draw(s), 1 Zlin win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Apr 4, 2026 | Zlin 0-3 FK Jablonec | Czech Liga |
| Nov 1, 2025 | FK Jablonec 1-3 Zlin | Czech Liga |
| May 25, 2024 | FK Jablonec 1-0 Zlin | Czech Liga |
| Apr 20, 2024 | FK Jablonec 0-0 Zlin | Czech Liga |
| Nov 11, 2023 | Zlin 1-1 FK Jablonec | Czech Liga |
| May 6, 2023 | Zlin 1-1 FK Jablonec | Czech Liga |
How many goals should we expect?
FK Jablonec score 1.3 and concede 1.1 goals per match over their last 15; Zlin score 1.1 and concede 1.7. The model gives a 56% probability of over 2.5 goals and 50% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| FK Jablonec | 1.3 | 1.1 | 6 | 7/15 | 7/15 |
| Zlin | 1.1 | 1.7 | 2 | 8/15 | 8/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
FK Jablonec sit 6th in Czech Liga (9 points from 3 matches) and Zlin sit 16th (0 points from 5 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 6 | FK Jablonec | 3 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 5 | 1 | 9 |
| 16 | Zlin | 5 | 0 | 0 | 5 | 3 | 10 | 0 |
Verdict, probable XI and verified absences
The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.
Open the full match card in the app
No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for FK Jablonec vs Zlin?
- The Footlab model makes FK Jablonec the favourite at 66%, against 21% for a draw and 14% for Zlin.
- Where and when is FK Jablonec vs Zlin played?
- FK Jablonec vs Zlin is played on September 19, 2026 at 01:00 PM (UTC) at Stadion Střelnice, in the Czech Liga.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab model gives a 56% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.