Sigma Olomouc vs Sparta Praha: prediction and stats
Czech LigaRegular Season - 9Kick-off on September 19, 2026 at 01:00 PM (UTC)Andrův stadion, Olomouc
The Footlab model makes Sparta Praha the favourite at 37%, against 27% for a draw and 36% for Sigma Olomouc. The most likely score is 1-1.
This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Aug 24, 2026 — the full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Sigma Olomouc vs Sparta Praha?
A very open match: only 97 Elo points separate Sigma Olomouc (1,982) and Sparta Praha (2,079).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Sigma Olomouc have 10 wins, 2 draws and 3 defeats; Sparta Praha have 9, 1 and 5.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 23, 2026 | Pardubice(home) | 3-1 | Czech Liga |
| Aug 15, 2026 | Slovácko(away) | 2-1 | Czech Liga |
| Aug 9, 2026 | Artis(away) | 2-1 | Czech Liga |
| Aug 2, 2026 | Mlada Boleslav(home) | 2-2 | Czech Liga |
| Jul 26, 2026 | FK Jablonec(away) | 1-2 | Czech Liga |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 22, 2026 | Artis(away) | 4-0 | Czech Liga |
| Aug 15, 2026 | Teplice(home) | 4-1 | Czech Liga |
| Aug 11, 2026 | Lyon(away) | 0-3 | UEFA Champions League |
| Aug 8, 2026 | Mlada Boleslav(away) | 0-2 | Czech Liga |
| Aug 4, 2026 | Lyon(home) | 2-1 | UEFA Champions League |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 6 meetings: 2 Sigma Olomouc win(s), 1 draw(s), 3 Sparta Praha win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Dec 6, 2025 | Sigma Olomouc 0-1 Sparta Praha | Czech Liga |
| Aug 10, 2025 | Sparta Praha 1-0 Sigma Olomouc | Czech Liga |
| May 24, 2025 | Sparta Praha 1-1 Sigma Olomouc | Czech Liga |
| May 14, 2025 | Sigma Olomouc 3-1 Sparta Praha | Cup |
| Mar 1, 2025 | Sigma Olomouc 1-2 Sparta Praha | Czech Liga |
| Sep 27, 2024 | Sparta Praha 2-3 Sigma Olomouc | Czech Liga |
Last archived meeting: Sigma Olomouc vs Sparta Praha on Dec 6, 2025
How many goals should we expect?
Sigma Olomouc score 1.9 and concede 1.1 goals per match over their last 15; Sparta Praha score 1.9 and concede 1.3. The model gives a 51% probability of over 2.5 goals and 56% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Sigma Olomouc | 1.9 | 1.1 | 3 | 12/15 | 13/15 |
| Sparta Praha | 1.9 | 1.3 | 5 | 7/15 | 10/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Sigma Olomouc sit 3rd in Czech Liga (10 points from 5 matches) and Sparta Praha sit 5th (9 points from 5 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 | Sigma Olomouc | 5 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 10 | 7 | 10 |
| 5 | Sparta Praha | 5 | 3 | 0 | 2 | 12 | 7 | 9 |
Verdict, probable XI and verified absences
The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.
Open the full match card in the app
No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Sigma Olomouc vs Sparta Praha?
- The Footlab model makes Sparta Praha the favourite at 37%, against 27% for a draw and 36% for Sigma Olomouc.
- Where and when is Sigma Olomouc vs Sparta Praha played?
- Sigma Olomouc vs Sparta Praha is played on September 19, 2026 at 01:00 PM (UTC) at Andrův stadion, in the Czech Liga.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab model gives a 51% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.