Mlada Boleslav vs Zbrojovka Brno: prediction and stats
Czech LigaRegular Season - 9Kick-off on September 19, 2026 at 01:00 PM (UTC)Lokotrans Aréna, Mladá Boleslav
The Footlab model makes Zbrojovka Brno the favourite at 39%, against 27% for a draw and 33% for Mlada Boleslav. The most likely score is 1-1.
This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Aug 26, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Mlada Boleslav vs Zbrojovka Brno?
A very open match: only 75 Elo points separate Mlada Boleslav (1,972) and Zbrojovka Brno (2,047).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Mlada Boleslav have 8 wins, 4 draws and 3 defeats; Zbrojovka Brno have 11, 3 and 1.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 22, 2026 | Slovácko(home) | 2-1 | Czech Liga |
| Aug 15, 2026 | Pardubice(away) | 1-1 | Czech Liga |
| Aug 8, 2026 | Sparta Praha(home) | 2-0 | Czech Liga |
| Aug 2, 2026 | Sigma Olomouc(away) | 2-2 | Czech Liga |
| Jul 27, 2026 | Artis(away) | 4-2 | Czech Liga |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 23, 2026 | Teplice(away) | 2-0 | Czech Liga |
| Aug 7, 2026 | Slovan Liberec(home) | 0-1 | Czech Liga |
| Aug 1, 2026 | Plzen(away) | 1-1 | Czech Liga |
| Jul 25, 2026 | Sparta Praha(home) | 3-1 | Czech Liga |
| Jul 17, 2026 | Podbrezová(home) | 2-0 | Friendlies Clubs |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 4 meetings: 1 Mlada Boleslav win(s), 2 draw(s), 1 Zbrojovka Brno win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Jan 29, 2023 | Mlada Boleslav 0-0 Zbrojovka Brno | Czech Liga |
| Aug 13, 2022 | Zbrojovka Brno 3-1 Mlada Boleslav | Czech Liga |
| May 8, 2021 | Zbrojovka Brno 2-3 Mlada Boleslav | Czech Liga |
| Jan 16, 2021 | Mlada Boleslav 1-1 Zbrojovka Brno | Czech Liga |
Last archived meeting: Mlada Boleslav vs Zbrojovka Brno on Jan 29, 2023
How many goals should we expect?
Mlada Boleslav score 2.0 and concede 1.0 goals per match over their last 15; Zbrojovka Brno score 2.0 and concede 0.5. The model gives a 50% probability of over 2.5 goals and 55% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mlada Boleslav | 2.0 | 1.0 | 6 | 7/15 | 9/15 |
| Zbrojovka Brno | 2.0 | 0.5 | 7 | 7/15 | 6/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Mlada Boleslav sit 2nd in Czech Liga (11 points from 5 matches) and Zbrojovka Brno sit 7th (7 points from 4 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | Mlada Boleslav | 5 | 3 | 2 | 0 | 11 | 6 | 11 |
| 7 | Zbrojovka Brno | 4 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 6 | 3 | 7 |
Verdict, probable XI and verified absences
The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.
Open the full match card in the app
No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Mlada Boleslav vs Zbrojovka Brno?
- The Footlab model makes Zbrojovka Brno the favourite at 39%, against 27% for a draw and 33% for Mlada Boleslav.
- Where and when is Mlada Boleslav vs Zbrojovka Brno played?
- Mlada Boleslav vs Zbrojovka Brno is played on September 19, 2026 at 01:00 PM (UTC) at Lokotrans Aréna, in the Czech Liga.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab model gives a 50% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.