FK Neftekhimik vs FC UFA: prediction and stats
First LeagueRegular Season - 9Kick-off on August 28, 2026 at 04:30 PM (UTC)Stadion Neftekhimik, Nizhnekamsk
The Footlab model makes FK Neftekhimik the favourite at 37%, against 31% for a draw and 32% for FC UFA. The most likely score is 1-1.
This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Aug 26, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win FK Neftekhimik vs FC UFA?
A very open match: only 44 Elo points separate FK Neftekhimik (1,753) and FC UFA (1,797).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, FK Neftekhimik have 5 wins, 3 draws and 7 defeats; FC UFA have 6, 5 and 4.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 24, 2026 | Rotor Volgograd(away) | 1-0 | First League |
| Aug 20, 2026 | FC Sochi(home) | 1-2 | First League |
| Aug 14, 2026 | Shinnik Yaroslavl(home) | 0-2 | First League |
| Aug 8, 2026 | Nizhny Novgorod(away) | 1-5 | First League |
| Aug 1, 2026 | Tekstilshchik(home) | 1-0 | First League |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 23, 2026 | Enisey(home) | 3-1 | First League |
| Aug 17, 2026 | Spartak Kostroma(away) | 1-1 | First League |
| Aug 8, 2026 | Ural(away) | 0-3 | First League |
| Aug 3, 2026 | KAMAZ(home) | 1-1 | First League |
| Jul 26, 2026 | Ska-khabarovsk(home) | 1-0 | First League |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 6 meetings: 3 FK Neftekhimik win(s), 1 draw(s), 2 FC UFA win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Feb 28, 2026 | FK Neftekhimik 2-0 FC UFA | First League |
| Oct 30, 2025 | FC UFA 1-1 FK Neftekhimik | Cup |
| Oct 25, 2025 | FC UFA 3-2 FK Neftekhimik | First League |
| May 4, 2025 | FC UFA 1-0 FK Neftekhimik | First League |
| Jul 21, 2024 | FK Neftekhimik 2-1 FC UFA | First League |
| May 27, 2023 | FK Neftekhimik 2-0 FC UFA | First League |
Last archived meeting: FK Neftekhimik vs FC UFA on Feb 28, 2026
How many goals should we expect?
FK Neftekhimik score 0.8 and concede 1.4 goals per match over their last 15; FC UFA score 1.1 and concede 0.9. The model gives a 37% probability of over 2.5 goals and 44% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| FK Neftekhimik | 0.8 | 1.4 | 5 | 5/15 | 4/15 |
| FC UFA | 1.1 | 0.9 | 6 | 5/15 | 5/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
FK Neftekhimik sit 12th in First League (9 points from 8 matches) and FC UFA sit 7th (12 points from 7 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 7 | FC UFA | 7 | 3 | 3 | 1 | 11 | 8 | 12 |
| 12 | FK Neftekhimik | 8 | 3 | 0 | 5 | 5 | 12 | 9 |
Verdict, probable XI and verified absences
The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.
Open the full match card in the app
No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for FK Neftekhimik vs FC UFA?
- The Footlab model makes FK Neftekhimik the favourite at 37%, against 31% for a draw and 32% for FC UFA.
- Where and when is FK Neftekhimik vs FC UFA played?
- FK Neftekhimik vs FC UFA is played on August 28, 2026 at 04:30 PM (UTC) at Stadion Neftekhimik, in the First League.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab model gives a 37% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.