Nizhny Novgorod vs Volga Ulyanovsk: prediction and stats
First LeagueRegular Season - 9Kick-off on August 30, 2026 at 05:00 PM (UTC)Stadion Nizhny Novgorod, Nizhniy Novgorod
The Footlab model makes Nizhny Novgorod the favourite at 53%, against 26% for a draw and 21% for Volga Ulyanovsk. The most likely score is 1-1.
This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Aug 26, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Nizhny Novgorod vs Volga Ulyanovsk?
A very open match: only 93 Elo points separate Nizhny Novgorod (1,843) and Volga Ulyanovsk (1,751).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Nizhny Novgorod have 7 wins, 3 draws and 5 defeats; Volga Ulyanovsk have 3, 3 and 9.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 24, 2026 | Ska-khabarovsk(home) | 4-2 | First League |
| Aug 19, 2026 | Veles(away) | 2-3 | First League |
| Aug 15, 2026 | Tekstilshchik(away) | 3-1 | First League |
| Aug 8, 2026 | FK Neftekhimik(home) | 5-1 | First League |
| Aug 2, 2026 | Shinnik Yaroslavl(home) | 3-0 | First League |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 22, 2026 | Shinnik Yaroslavl(home) | 1-3 | First League |
| Aug 16, 2026 | FC Sochi(away) | 0-1 | First League |
| Aug 9, 2026 | KAMAZ(away) | 2-1 | First League |
| Aug 2, 2026 | Chelyabinsk(home) | 0-2 | First League |
| Jul 25, 2026 | FK Neftekhimik(home) | 2-0 | First League |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 1 meetings: 0 Nizhny Novgorod win(s), 0 draw(s), 1 Volga Ulyanovsk win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Feb 3, 2023 | Volga Ulyanovsk 1-0 Nizhny Novgorod | Friendlies Clubs |
Last archived meeting: Volga Ulyanovsk vs Nizhny Novgorod on Feb 3, 2023
How many goals should we expect?
Nizhny Novgorod score 2.2 and concede 1.6 goals per match over their last 15; Volga Ulyanovsk score 0.8 and concede 1.6. The model gives a 46% probability of over 2.5 goals and 49% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nizhny Novgorod | 2.2 | 1.6 | 1 | 13/15 | 13/15 |
| Volga Ulyanovsk | 0.8 | 1.6 | 2 | 7/15 | 8/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Nizhny Novgorod sit 1st in First League (21 points from 8 matches) and Volga Ulyanovsk sit 14th (6 points from 7 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Nizhny Novgorod | 8 | 7 | 0 | 1 | 25 | 11 | 21 |
| 14 | Volga Ulyanovsk | 7 | 2 | 0 | 5 | 7 | 12 | 6 |
Verdict, probable XI and verified absences
The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.
Open the full match card in the app
No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Nizhny Novgorod vs Volga Ulyanovsk?
- The Footlab model makes Nizhny Novgorod the favourite at 53%, against 26% for a draw and 21% for Volga Ulyanovsk.
- Where and when is Nizhny Novgorod vs Volga Ulyanovsk played?
- Nizhny Novgorod vs Volga Ulyanovsk is played on August 30, 2026 at 05:00 PM (UTC) at Stadion Nizhny Novgorod, in the First League.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab model gives a 46% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.