Spartak Kostroma vs Rotor Volgograd: prediction and stats
First LeagueRegular Season - 9Kick-off on August 31, 2026 at 04:30 PM (UTC)Stadion Urozhaj, Karavaevo
The Footlab model makes Spartak Kostroma the favourite at 46%, against 28% for a draw and 27% for Rotor Volgograd. The most likely score is 1-1.
This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Aug 26, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Spartak Kostroma vs Rotor Volgograd?
A very open match: only 0 Elo points separate Spartak Kostroma (1,842) and Rotor Volgograd (1,842).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Spartak Kostroma have 4 wins, 7 draws and 4 defeats; Rotor Volgograd have 6, 3 and 6.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 21, 2026 | Torpedo Moskva(away) | 0-3 | First League |
| Aug 17, 2026 | FC UFA(home) | 1-1 | First League |
| Aug 9, 2026 | Ska-khabarovsk(away) | 3-1 | First League |
| Aug 1, 2026 | Enisey(home) | 2-2 | First League |
| Jul 25, 2026 | Tekstilshchik(away) | 0-0 | First League |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 24, 2026 | FK Neftekhimik(home) | 0-1 | First League |
| Aug 20, 2026 | Arsenal Tula(away) | 1-2 | First League |
| Aug 14, 2026 | Ural(home) | 1-1 | First League |
| Aug 9, 2026 | Chelyabinsk(home) | 4-1 | First League |
| Aug 3, 2026 | Veles(away) | 1-2 | First League |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 4 meetings: 1 Spartak Kostroma win(s), 1 draw(s), 2 Rotor Volgograd win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Feb 28, 2026 | Spartak Kostroma 1-1 Rotor Volgograd | First League |
| Aug 30, 2025 | Rotor Volgograd 1-2 Spartak Kostroma | First League |
| Oct 29, 2023 | Rotor Volgograd 2-0 Spartak Kostroma | Second League A - Division A Gold |
| Sep 3, 2023 | Spartak Kostroma 0-1 Rotor Volgograd | Second League A - Division A Gold |
Last archived meeting: Spartak Kostroma vs Rotor Volgograd on Feb 28, 2026
How many goals should we expect?
Spartak Kostroma score 1.2 and concede 1.1 goals per match over their last 15; Rotor Volgograd score 1.4 and concede 1.1. The model gives a 47% probability of over 2.5 goals and 51% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Spartak Kostroma | 1.2 | 1.1 | 3 | 8/15 | 5/15 |
| Rotor Volgograd | 1.4 | 1.1 | 6 | 6/15 | 6/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Spartak Kostroma sit 8th in First League (12 points from 7 matches) and Rotor Volgograd sit 10th (10 points from 8 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 8 | Spartak Kostroma | 7 | 3 | 3 | 1 | 11 | 8 | 12 |
| 10 | Rotor Volgograd | 8 | 3 | 1 | 4 | 12 | 11 | 10 |
Verdict, probable XI and verified absences
The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.
Open the full match card in the app
No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Spartak Kostroma vs Rotor Volgograd?
- The Footlab model makes Spartak Kostroma the favourite at 46%, against 28% for a draw and 27% for Rotor Volgograd.
- Where and when is Spartak Kostroma vs Rotor Volgograd played?
- Spartak Kostroma vs Rotor Volgograd is played on August 31, 2026 at 04:30 PM (UTC) at Stadion Urozhaj, in the First League.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab model gives a 47% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.