FK Sarajevo vs Sloga Doboj: prediction and stats
Premijer LigaRegular Season - 8Kick-off on September 19, 2026 at 03:00 PM (UTC)Olimpijski Stadion Asim Ferhatović Hase, Sarajevo
The Footlab model makes FK Sarajevo the favourite at 71%, against 22% for a draw and 7% for Sloga Doboj. The most likely score is 1-0.
This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Aug 24, 2026 — the full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win FK Sarajevo vs Sloga Doboj?
FK Sarajevo starts as the favourite with a 233-point Elo edge (1,725 vs 1,492).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, FK Sarajevo have 9 wins, 4 draws and 2 defeats; Sloga Doboj have 4, 3 and 8.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 21, 2026 | BSK Banja Luka(home) | 1-0 | Premijer Liga |
| Aug 8, 2026 | Radnik Bijeljina(home) | 0-0 | Premijer Liga |
| Jul 16, 2026 | Inter Turku(away) | 1-2 | UEFA Europa Conference League |
| Jul 9, 2026 | Inter Turku(home) | 1-1 | UEFA Europa Conference League |
| May 25, 2026 | Zeljeznicar Sarajevo(home) | 1-0 | Premijer Liga |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 22, 2026 | Velež(away) | 0-2 | Premijer Liga |
| Aug 8, 2026 | Siroki Brijeg(away) | 0-0 | Premijer Liga |
| Jul 19, 2026 | Teleoptik(away) | 1-0 | Friendlies Clubs |
| May 26, 2026 | Rudar Prijedor(home) | 1-0 | Premijer Liga |
| May 22, 2026 | Posušje(away) | 1-0 | Premijer Liga |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 6 meetings: 5 FK Sarajevo win(s), 0 draw(s), 1 Sloga Doboj win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Apr 22, 2026 | FK Sarajevo 4-0 Sloga Doboj | Premijer Liga |
| Feb 15, 2026 | Sloga Doboj 0-1 FK Sarajevo | Premijer Liga |
| Oct 24, 2025 | FK Sarajevo 1-0 Sloga Doboj | Premijer Liga |
| Aug 9, 2025 | Sloga Doboj 2-1 FK Sarajevo | Premijer Liga |
| May 3, 2025 | Sloga Doboj 0-4 FK Sarajevo | Premijer Liga |
| Feb 9, 2025 | FK Sarajevo 3-1 Sloga Doboj | Cup |
Last archived meeting: FK Sarajevo vs Sloga Doboj on Apr 22, 2026
How many goals should we expect?
FK Sarajevo score 1.5 and concede 0.8 goals per match over their last 15; Sloga Doboj score 0.5 and concede 1.6. The model gives a 38% probability of over 2.5 goals and 29% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| FK Sarajevo | 1.5 | 0.8 | 7 | 7/15 | 7/15 |
| Sloga Doboj | 0.5 | 1.6 | 7 | 3/15 | 7/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
FK Sarajevo sit 4th in Premijer Liga (4 points from 2 matches) and Sloga Doboj sit 8th (1 points from 2 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4 | FK Sarajevo | 2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 4 |
| 8 | Sloga Doboj | 2 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 1 |
Verdict, probable XI and verified absences
The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.
Open the full match card in the app
No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for FK Sarajevo vs Sloga Doboj?
- The Footlab model makes FK Sarajevo the favourite at 71%, against 22% for a draw and 7% for Sloga Doboj.
- Where and when is FK Sarajevo vs Sloga Doboj played?
- FK Sarajevo vs Sloga Doboj is played on September 19, 2026 at 03:00 PM (UTC) at Olimpijski Stadion Asim Ferhatović Hase, in the Premijer Liga.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab model gives a 38% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.