Siroki Brijeg vs Borac Banja Luka: prediction and stats
Premijer LigaRegular Season - 8Kick-off on September 19, 2026 at 03:00 PM (UTC)Stadion Pecara, Široki Brijeg
The Footlab model makes Borac Banja Luka the favourite at 55%, against 27% for a draw and 18% for Siroki Brijeg. The most likely score is 0-1.
This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Aug 26, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Siroki Brijeg vs Borac Banja Luka?
Borac Banja Luka is a heavy favourite: 1,892 Elo points against 1,573, a 319-point gap.
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Siroki Brijeg have 5 wins, 4 draws and 6 defeats; Borac Banja Luka have 10, 3 and 2.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 22, 2026 | Radnik Bijeljina(home) | 2-1 | Premijer Liga |
| Aug 14, 2026 | Čelik(away) | 2-1 | Premijer Liga |
| Aug 8, 2026 | Sloga Doboj(home) | 0-0 | Premijer Liga |
| Aug 1, 2026 | Tomislav(home) | 3-0 | Friendlies Clubs |
| May 25, 2026 | Radnik Bijeljina(home) | 4-0 | Premijer Liga |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 23, 2026 | Čelik(home) | 2-0 | Premijer Liga |
| Aug 20, 2026 | Vikingur Reykjavik(away) | 3-1 | UEFA Europa Conference League |
| Aug 13, 2026 | ML Vitebsk(away) | 0-1 | UEFA Europa Conference League |
| Aug 9, 2026 | Velež(home) | 3-1 | Premijer Liga |
| Aug 6, 2026 | ML Vitebsk(home) | 1-0 | UEFA Europa Conference League |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 6 meetings: 0 Siroki Brijeg win(s), 0 draw(s), 6 Borac Banja Luka win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| May 10, 2026 | Siroki Brijeg 0-1 Borac Banja Luka | Premijer Liga |
| Mar 7, 2026 | Borac Banja Luka 5-1 Siroki Brijeg | Premijer Liga |
| Nov 23, 2025 | Siroki Brijeg 1-2 Borac Banja Luka | Premijer Liga |
| Aug 31, 2025 | Borac Banja Luka 5-1 Siroki Brijeg | Premijer Liga |
| May 3, 2025 | Siroki Brijeg 0-1 Borac Banja Luka | Premijer Liga |
| Mar 17, 2025 | Borac Banja Luka 3-0 Siroki Brijeg | Premijer Liga |
Last archived meeting: Siroki Brijeg vs Borac Banja Luka on May 10, 2026
How many goals should we expect?
Siroki Brijeg score 1.2 and concede 1.3 goals per match over their last 15; Borac Banja Luka score 1.6 and concede 0.8. The model gives a 41% probability of over 2.5 goals and 43% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Siroki Brijeg | 1.2 | 1.3 | 3 | 6/15 | 8/15 |
| Borac Banja Luka | 1.6 | 0.8 | 8 | 5/15 | 6/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Siroki Brijeg sit 2nd in Premijer Liga (7 points from 3 matches) and Borac Banja Luka sit 3rd (6 points from 2 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | Siroki Brijeg | 3 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 4 | 2 | 7 |
| 3 | Borac Banja Luka | 2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 5 | 1 | 6 |
Verdict, probable XI and verified absences
The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.
Open the full match card in the app
No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Siroki Brijeg vs Borac Banja Luka?
- The Footlab model makes Borac Banja Luka the favourite at 55%, against 27% for a draw and 18% for Siroki Brijeg.
- Where and when is Siroki Brijeg vs Borac Banja Luka played?
- Siroki Brijeg vs Borac Banja Luka is played on September 19, 2026 at 03:00 PM (UTC) at Stadion Pecara, in the Premijer Liga.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab model gives a 41% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.