Flambeau du Centre vs Ngozi City: prediction and stats
Ligue ARegular Season - 15Kick-off on December 12, 2026 at 01:00 PM (UTC)Stade Ingoma, Gitega
The Footlab AI model makes Flambeau du Centre the favourite at 51%, against 26% for a draw and 23% for Ngozi City. The most likely score is 1-1. If Flambeau du Centre wins, the most likely score is 1-0.
Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome in 54.3% of the 4,500 matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Nov 4, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Flambeau du Centre vs Ngozi City?
Flambeau du Centre starts as the favourite with a 169-point Elo edge (1,577 vs 1,408).
Computed by the Footlab AI model from our own data only, with no AI analysis.
Probable lineup for Flambeau du Centre vs Ngozi City
Computed by Footlab AI from our own data only: recent lineups, squads and known absences. It does not take the press or last-minute absences into account.
Flambeau du Centre
Not enough data to predict the Flambeau du Centre lineup.
Ngozi City
Not enough data to predict the Ngozi City lineup.
Computed on November 4, 2026 at 03:18 PM (UTC).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Flambeau du Centre have 4 wins, 6 draws and 5 defeats; Ngozi City have 6, 1 and 8.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 1, 2026 | Musongati(home) | 1-4 | Ligue A |
| Oct 25, 2026 | Panthere Noir(away) | 2-0 | Ligue A |
| Oct 18, 2026 | Le Messager Ngozi(home) | 0-1 | Ligue A |
| Oct 14, 2026 | Never Give Up Academy(away) | 2-2 | Ligue A |
| Oct 10, 2026 | Muzinga(home) | 1-2 | Ligue A |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 1, 2026 | Never Give Up Academy(home) | 1-2 | Ligue A |
| Oct 23, 2026 | Muzinga(away) | 0-1 | Ligue A |
| Oct 18, 2026 | Bumamuru(home) | 2-0 | Ligue A |
| Oct 11, 2026 | Royal Vision(home) | 0-5 | Ligue A |
| Oct 3, 2026 | Aigle Noir(away) | 1-2 | Ligue A |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 6 meetings: 4 Flambeau du Centre wins, 1 draw, 1 Ngozi City win.
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Feb 22, 2026 | Flambeau du Centre 0-0 Ngozi City | Ligue A |
| Dec 21, 2025 | Ngozi City 1-2 Flambeau du Centre | Ligue A |
| Apr 12, 2025 | Flambeau du Centre 8-0 Ngozi City | Ligue A |
| Sep 21, 2024 | Ngozi City 2-1 Flambeau du Centre | Ligue A |
| Jun 23, 2020 | Flambeau du Centre 5-1 Ngozi City | Ligue A |
| Aug 31, 2019 | Ngozi City 2-3 Flambeau du Centre | Ligue A |
Last archived meeting: Flambeau du Centre vs Ngozi City on Feb 22, 2026
How many goals should we expect?
Flambeau du Centre score 1.5 and concede 1.3 goals per match over their last 15; Ngozi City score 1.5 and concede 1.9. The model gives a 50% probability of over 2.5 goals and 52% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Flambeau du Centre | 1.5 | 1.3 | 3 | 11/15 | 8/15 |
| Ngozi City | 1.5 | 1.9 | 4 | 8/15 | 10/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Flambeau du Centre sit 11th in Ligue A (6 points from 6 matches) and Ngozi City sit 8th (9 points from 6 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 8 | Ngozi City | 6 | 3 | 0 | 3 | 7 | 10 | 9 |
| 11 | Flambeau du Centre | 6 | 1 | 3 | 2 | 6 | 7 | 6 |
A question about Flambeau du Centre vs Ngozi City?
Ask Footlab AI: lineups, absences, player form, stats, how the match could unfold.
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How does Footlab AI compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. When bookmakers publish odds for the match, their consensus is built into the calculation: that is what proved most accurate on past matches. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Flambeau du Centre vs Ngozi City?
- The Footlab AI model makes Flambeau du Centre the favourite at 51%, against 26% for a draw and 23% for Ngozi City.
- Where and when is Flambeau du Centre vs Ngozi City played?
- Flambeau du Centre vs Ngozi City is played on December 12, 2026 at 01:00 PM (UTC) at Stade Ingoma, in the Ligue A.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab AI model gives a 50% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome (home win, draw or away win) in 54.3% of the matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing, a level comparable with the bookmakers' favourite. The comparison with bookmakers and the breakdown by competition and Elo gap are published on the accuracy page.