Flambeau du Centre vs Ngozi City: prediction and stats
Ligue ARegular Season - 15Kick-off on December 12, 2026 at 01:00 PM (UTC)Stade Ingoma, Gitega
The Footlab model makes Flambeau du Centre the favourite at 57%, against 25% for a draw and 18% for Ngozi City. The most likely score is 1-0.
This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Aug 24, 2026 — the full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Flambeau du Centre vs Ngozi City?
Flambeau du Centre starts as the favourite with a 215-point Elo edge (1,646 vs 1,431).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Flambeau du Centre have 4 wins, 8 draws and 3 defeats; Ngozi City have 5, 4 and 6.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 23, 2026 | Aigle Noir(home) | 1-1 | Ligue A |
| Aug 16, 2026 | Kayanza United(away) | 0-0 | Ligue A |
| May 9, 2026 | Rukinzo(away) | 1-1 | Ligue A |
| Apr 26, 2026 | Green Farmers FC(home) | 5-1 | Ligue A |
| Apr 12, 2026 | Kayanza United(away) | 2-2 | Ligue A |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 23, 2026 | Vital'O(away) | 1-2 | Ligue A |
| Aug 16, 2026 | Young Star(home) | 2-0 | Ligue A |
| May 9, 2026 | Olympic Star(away) | 0-4 | Ligue A |
| Apr 26, 2026 | Musongati(home) | 2-4 | Ligue A |
| Apr 12, 2026 | Rukinzo(away) | 2-4 | Ligue A |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 6 meetings: 4 Flambeau du Centre win(s), 1 draw(s), 1 Ngozi City win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Feb 22, 2026 | Flambeau du Centre 0-0 Ngozi City | Ligue A |
| Dec 21, 2025 | Ngozi City 1-2 Flambeau du Centre | Ligue A |
| Apr 12, 2025 | Flambeau du Centre 8-0 Ngozi City | Ligue A |
| Sep 21, 2024 | Ngozi City 2-1 Flambeau du Centre | Ligue A |
| Jun 23, 2020 | Flambeau du Centre 5-1 Ngozi City | Ligue A |
| Aug 31, 2019 | Ngozi City 2-3 Flambeau du Centre | Ligue A |
Last archived meeting: Flambeau du Centre vs Ngozi City on Feb 22, 2026
How many goals should we expect?
Flambeau du Centre score 1.3 and concede 1.0 goals per match over their last 15; Ngozi City score 1.6 and concede 1.6. The model gives a 49% probability of over 2.5 goals and 49% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Flambeau du Centre | 1.3 | 1.0 | 5 | 9/15 | 6/15 |
| Ngozi City | 1.6 | 1.6 | 4 | 9/15 | 10/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Flambeau du Centre sit 9th in Ligue A (2 points from 2 matches) and Ngozi City sit 6th (3 points from 2 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 6 | Ngozi City | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 2 | 3 |
| 9 | Flambeau du Centre | 2 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 2 |
Verdict, probable XI and verified absences
The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.
Open the full match card in the app
No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Flambeau du Centre vs Ngozi City?
- The Footlab model makes Flambeau du Centre the favourite at 57%, against 25% for a draw and 18% for Ngozi City.
- Where and when is Flambeau du Centre vs Ngozi City played?
- Flambeau du Centre vs Ngozi City is played on December 12, 2026 at 01:00 PM (UTC) at Stade Ingoma, in the Ligue A.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab model gives a 49% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.