Olympic Star vs Kayanza United: prediction and stats
Ligue ARegular Season - 15Kick-off on December 13, 2026 at 01:00 PM (UTC)Stade Municipal, Muyinga
The Footlab model makes Olympic Star the favourite at 45%, against 28% for a draw and 27% for Kayanza United. The most likely score is 1-1.
This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Aug 24, 2026 — the full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Olympic Star vs Kayanza United?
A very open match: only 72 Elo points separate Olympic Star (1,513) and Kayanza United (1,442).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Olympic Star have 4 wins, 6 draws and 5 defeats; Kayanza United have 4, 8 and 3.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 23, 2026 | Royal Vision(home) | 0-0 | Ligue A |
| Aug 16, 2026 | Aigle Noir(away) | 1-3 | Ligue A |
| May 9, 2026 | Ngozi City(home) | 4-0 | Ligue A |
| Apr 27, 2026 | Inter Star(away) | 2-1 | Ligue A |
| Apr 12, 2026 | Vital'O(home) | 1-1 | Ligue A |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 19, 2026 | Young Star(away) | 0-0 | Ligue A |
| Aug 16, 2026 | Flambeau du Centre(home) | 0-0 | Ligue A |
| May 9, 2026 | Dynamik(home) | 3-1 | Ligue A |
| Apr 25, 2026 | Muzinga(away) | 0-0 | Ligue A |
| Apr 12, 2026 | Flambeau du Centre(home) | 2-2 | Ligue A |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 6 meetings: 2 Olympic Star win(s), 4 draw(s), 0 Kayanza United win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Feb 15, 2026 | Olympic Star 0-0 Kayanza United | Ligue A |
| Nov 1, 2025 | Kayanza United 1-1 Olympic Star | Ligue A |
| Jan 26, 2025 | Olympic Star 0-0 Kayanza United | Ligue A |
| Nov 24, 2024 | Kayanza United 0-3 Olympic Star | Ligue A |
| Mar 2, 2024 | Olympic Star 3-1 Kayanza United | Ligue A |
| Oct 1, 2023 | Kayanza United 1-1 Olympic Star | Ligue A |
Last archived meeting: Olympic Star vs Kayanza United on Feb 15, 2026
How many goals should we expect?
Olympic Star score 1.3 and concede 1.1 goals per match over their last 15; Kayanza United score 1.2 and concede 1.1. The model gives a 46% probability of over 2.5 goals and 51% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Olympic Star | 1.3 | 1.1 | 5 | 8/15 | 8/15 |
| Kayanza United | 1.2 | 1.1 | 7 | 7/15 | 7/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Olympic Star sit 15th in Ligue A (1 points from 2 matches) and Kayanza United sit 10th (2 points from 2 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 | Kayanza United | 2 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 |
| 15 | Olympic Star | 2 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 3 | 1 |
Verdict, probable XI and verified absences
The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.
Open the full match card in the app
No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Olympic Star vs Kayanza United?
- The Footlab model makes Olympic Star the favourite at 45%, against 28% for a draw and 27% for Kayanza United.
- Where and when is Olympic Star vs Kayanza United played?
- Olympic Star vs Kayanza United is played on December 13, 2026 at 01:00 PM (UTC) at Stade Municipal, in the Ligue A.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab model gives a 46% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.