Musongati vs Aigle Noir: prediction and stats
Ligue ARegular Season - 15Kick-off on December 13, 2026 at 01:00 PM (UTC)Stade Ingoma, Gitega
The Footlab AI model makes Musongati the favourite at 49%, against 27% for a draw and 24% for Aigle Noir. The most likely score is 1-1. If Musongati wins, the most likely score is 1-0.
Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome in 54.4% of the 4,545 matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Nov 5, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Musongati vs Aigle Noir?
A very open match: only 16 Elo points separate Musongati (1,615) and Aigle Noir (1,631).
Computed by the Footlab AI model from our own data only, with no AI analysis.
Probable lineup for Musongati vs Aigle Noir
Computed by Footlab AI from our own data only: recent lineups, squads and known absences. It does not take the press or last-minute absences into account.
Musongati
4-3-3- 14E. Nibibona
- 20S. Ndizeye
- 10S. Halidi
- 6A. Mugisha
- 4A. Ntahobari
- 7A. Musore
- 3E. Nimubona
- 2M. Muryango
- 13I. Nsabimana
- 9J. Othieno
- 1L. Sakubu
Aigle Noir
Not enough data to predict the Aigle Noir lineup.
Computed on November 5, 2026 at 07:19 AM (UTC).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Musongati have 8 wins, 2 draws and 5 defeats; Aigle Noir have 5, 3 and 7.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 4, 2026 | Young Star(home) | 6-1 | Ligue A |
| Nov 1, 2026 | Flambeau du Centre(away) | 4-1 | Ligue A |
| Oct 25, 2026 | Olympic Star(home) | 1-1 | Ligue A |
| Oct 18, 2026 | Inter Star(away) | 1-2 | Ligue A |
| Oct 14, 2026 | Panthere Noir(away) | 2-0 | Ligue A |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 3, 2026 | Muzinga(away) | 0-1 | Ligue A |
| Oct 31, 2026 | Bumamuru(home) | 0-1 | Ligue A |
| Oct 24, 2026 | Rukinzo(away) | 0-1 | Ligue A |
| Oct 17, 2026 | Royal Vision(home) | 1-1 | Ligue A |
| Oct 10, 2026 | Kayanza United(away) | 1-1 | Ligue A |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 6 meetings: 0 Musongati wins, 2 draws, 4 Aigle Noir wins.
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Feb 28, 2026 | Musongati 0-0 Aigle Noir | Ligue A |
| Dec 12, 2025 | Aigle Noir 1-1 Musongati | Ligue A |
| Jan 26, 2025 | Musongati 0-2 Aigle Noir | Ligue A |
| Nov 24, 2024 | Aigle Noir 2-0 Musongati | Ligue A |
| Apr 4, 2024 | Aigle Noir 1-0 Musongati | Ligue A |
| Oct 18, 2023 | Musongati 0-1 Aigle Noir | Ligue A |
Last archived meeting: Musongati vs Aigle Noir on Feb 28, 2026
How many goals should we expect?
Musongati score 1.9 and concede 1.1 goals per match over their last 15; Aigle Noir score 1.0 and concede 1.1. The model gives a 47% probability of over 2.5 goals and 50% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Musongati | 1.9 | 1.1 | 5 | 7/15 | 8/15 |
| Aigle Noir | 1.0 | 1.1 | 2 | 8/15 | 5/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Musongati sit 6th in Ligue A (10 points from 7 matches) and Aigle Noir sit 3rd (11 points from 6 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 | Aigle Noir | 6 | 3 | 2 | 1 | 11 | 8 | 11 |
| 6 | Musongati | 7 | 3 | 1 | 3 | 8 | 8 | 10 |
A question about Musongati vs Aigle Noir?
Ask Footlab AI: lineups, absences, player form, stats, how the match could unfold.
Sign-in required. No odds displayed, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab AI compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. When bookmakers publish odds for the match, their consensus is built into the calculation: that is what proved most accurate on past matches. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Musongati vs Aigle Noir?
- The Footlab AI model makes Musongati the favourite at 49%, against 27% for a draw and 24% for Aigle Noir.
- Where and when is Musongati vs Aigle Noir played?
- Musongati vs Aigle Noir is played on December 13, 2026 at 01:00 PM (UTC) at Stade Ingoma, in the Ligue A.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab AI model gives a 47% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome (home win, draw or away win) in 54.4% of the matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing, a level comparable with the bookmakers' favourite. The comparison with bookmakers and the breakdown by competition and Elo gap are published on the accuracy page.