Flekkerøy vs Staal Jørpeland: prediction and stats
3. Division - Girone 4Regular Season - 26Kick-off on November 1, 2026 at 11:00 AM (UTC)Cemo Arena Flekkerøy, Kristiansand
The Footlab model makes Flekkerøy the favourite at 58%, against 18% for a draw and 24% for Staal Jørpeland. The most likely score is 2-1.
This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Aug 24, 2026 — the full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Flekkerøy vs Staal Jørpeland?
A very open match: only 71 Elo points separate Flekkerøy (1,601) and Staal Jørpeland (1,530).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Flekkerøy have 8 wins, 1 draws and 6 defeats; Staal Jørpeland have 5, 3 and 7.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 22, 2026 | Vindbjart(away) | 1-2 | NM Cupen |
| Aug 15, 2026 | Brodd(home) | 0-1 | 3. Division - Girone 4 |
| Aug 8, 2026 | Hinna(away) | 2-3 | 3. Division - Girone 4 |
| Aug 1, 2026 | Haugesund II(home) | 2-1 | 3. Division - Girone 4 |
| Jul 25, 2026 | Madla(away) | 1-5 | 3. Division - Girone 4 |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 17, 2026 | Haugesund II(home) | 3-4 | 3. Division - Girone 4 |
| Aug 8, 2026 | Odd II(away) | 2-1 | 3. Division - Girone 4 |
| Aug 1, 2026 | Åkra(home) | 3-4 | 3. Division - Girone 4 |
| Jul 25, 2026 | Mandalskameratene(away) | 3-8 | 3. Division - Girone 4 |
| Jun 25, 2026 | Hinna(home) | 1-1 | 3. Division - Girone 4 |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 3 meetings: 1 Flekkerøy win(s), 2 draw(s), 0 Staal Jørpeland win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Apr 6, 2026 | Staal Jørpeland 1-1 Flekkerøy | 3. Division - Girone 4 |
| Oct 15, 2022 | Flekkerøy 2-2 Staal Jørpeland | 2. Division - Group 1 |
| Apr 18, 2022 | Staal Jørpeland 1-2 Flekkerøy | 2. Division - Group 1 |
Last archived meeting: Staal Jørpeland vs Flekkerøy on Apr 6, 2026
How many goals should we expect?
Flekkerøy score 2.1 and concede 1.7 goals per match over their last 15; Staal Jørpeland score 2.1 and concede 2.7. The model gives a 83% probability of over 2.5 goals and 78% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Flekkerøy | 2.1 | 1.7 | 3 | 11/15 | 11/15 |
| Staal Jørpeland | 2.1 | 2.7 | 2 | 12/15 | 12/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Flekkerøy sit 3rd in 3. Division - Girone 4 (29 points from 16 matches) and Staal Jørpeland sit 10th (19 points from 16 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 | Flekkerøy | 16 | 9 | 2 | 5 | 35 | 27 | 29 |
| 10 | Staal Jørpeland | 16 | 5 | 4 | 7 | 33 | 41 | 19 |
Verdict, probable XI and verified absences
The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.
Open the full match card in the app
No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Flekkerøy vs Staal Jørpeland?
- The Footlab model makes Flekkerøy the favourite at 58%, against 18% for a draw and 24% for Staal Jørpeland.
- Where and when is Flekkerøy vs Staal Jørpeland played?
- Flekkerøy vs Staal Jørpeland is played on November 1, 2026 at 11:00 AM (UTC) at Cemo Arena Flekkerøy, in the 3. Division - Girone 4.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab model gives a 83% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.