Madla vs Stabæk II: prediction and stats
3. Division - Girone 4Regular Season - 26Kick-off on November 1, 2026 at 11:00 AM (UTC)Madla Handelslag Stadion, Hafrsfjord
The Footlab model makes Madla the favourite at 69%, against 15% for a draw and 15% for Stabæk II. The most likely score is 3-1.
This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Aug 24, 2026 — the full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Madla vs Stabæk II?
Madla starts as the favourite with a 168-point Elo edge (1,720 vs 1,552).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Madla have 9 wins, 4 draws and 2 defeats; Stabæk II have 6, 2 and 7.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 22, 2026 | Vidar(home) | 3-2 | NM Cupen |
| Aug 17, 2026 | Viking II(away) | 1-1 | 3. Division - Girone 4 |
| Aug 8, 2026 | Vindbjart(home) | 4-3 | 3. Division - Girone 4 |
| Aug 1, 2026 | Våg(away) | 3-2 | 3. Division - Girone 4 |
| Jul 25, 2026 | Flekkerøy(home) | 5-1 | 3. Division - Girone 4 |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 17, 2026 | Varhaug(away) | 0-2 | 3. Division - Girone 4 |
| Aug 9, 2026 | Våg(home) | 2-0 | 3. Division - Girone 4 |
| Aug 3, 2026 | Brodd(away) | 2-2 | 3. Division - Girone 4 |
| Jul 25, 2026 | Viking II(home) | 1-1 | 3. Division - Girone 4 |
| Jun 28, 2026 | Vindbjart(away) | 3-2 | 3. Division - Girone 4 |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 1 meetings: 0 Madla win(s), 0 draw(s), 1 Stabæk II win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| May 2, 2026 | Stabæk II 2-1 Madla | 3. Division - Girone 4 |
How many goals should we expect?
Madla score 2.5 and concede 1.5 goals per match over their last 15; Stabæk II score 2.2 and concede 2.5. The model gives a 84% probability of over 2.5 goals and 75% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Madla | 2.5 | 1.5 | 3 | 12/15 | 13/15 |
| Stabæk II | 2.2 | 2.5 | 1 | 12/15 | 12/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Madla sit 1st in 3. Division - Girone 4 (32 points from 16 matches) and Stabæk II sit 9th (20 points from 16 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Madla | 16 | 9 | 5 | 2 | 40 | 24 | 32 |
| 9 | Stabæk II | 16 | 6 | 2 | 8 | 35 | 40 | 20 |
Verdict, probable XI and verified absences
The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.
Open the full match card in the app
No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Madla vs Stabæk II?
- The Footlab model makes Madla the favourite at 69%, against 15% for a draw and 15% for Stabæk II.
- Where and when is Madla vs Stabæk II played?
- Madla vs Stabæk II is played on November 1, 2026 at 11:00 AM (UTC) at Madla Handelslag Stadion, in the 3. Division - Girone 4.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab model gives a 84% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.