Flekkerøy vs Våg: prediction and stats
3. Division - Girone 4Regular Season - 24Kick-off on October 18, 2026 at 02:00 PM (UTC)Cemo Arena Flekkerøy, Kristiansand
The Footlab model makes Flekkerøy the favourite at 56%, against 19% for a draw and 25% for Våg. The most likely score is 2-1.
This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Aug 24, 2026 — the full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Flekkerøy vs Våg?
A very open match: only 49 Elo points separate Flekkerøy (1,601) and Våg (1,552).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Flekkerøy have 8 wins, 1 draws and 6 defeats; Våg have 4, 1 and 10.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 22, 2026 | Vindbjart(away) | 1-2 | NM Cupen |
| Aug 15, 2026 | Brodd(home) | 0-1 | 3. Division - Girone 4 |
| Aug 8, 2026 | Hinna(away) | 2-3 | 3. Division - Girone 4 |
| Aug 1, 2026 | Haugesund II(home) | 2-1 | 3. Division - Girone 4 |
| Jul 25, 2026 | Madla(away) | 1-5 | 3. Division - Girone 4 |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 22, 2026 | Egersund(home) | 2-5 | NM Cupen |
| Aug 15, 2026 | Mandalskameratene(home) | 1-2 | 3. Division - Girone 4 |
| Aug 9, 2026 | Stabæk II(away) | 0-2 | 3. Division - Girone 4 |
| Aug 1, 2026 | Madla(home) | 2-3 | 3. Division - Girone 4 |
| Jul 27, 2026 | Odd II(away) | 1-1 | 3. Division - Girone 4 |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 1 meetings: 1 Flekkerøy win(s), 0 draw(s), 0 Våg win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| May 16, 2026 | Våg 0-2 Flekkerøy | 3. Division - Girone 4 |
How many goals should we expect?
Flekkerøy score 2.1 and concede 1.7 goals per match over their last 15; Våg score 1.4 and concede 2.1. The model gives a 81% probability of over 2.5 goals and 77% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Flekkerøy | 2.1 | 1.7 | 3 | 11/15 | 11/15 |
| Våg | 1.4 | 2.1 | 2 | 10/15 | 10/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Flekkerøy sit 3rd in 3. Division - Girone 4 (29 points from 16 matches) and Våg sit 11th (16 points from 16 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 | Flekkerøy | 16 | 9 | 2 | 5 | 35 | 27 | 29 |
| 11 | Våg | 16 | 5 | 1 | 10 | 21 | 29 | 16 |
Verdict, probable XI and verified absences
The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.
Open the full match card in the app
No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Flekkerøy vs Våg?
- The Footlab model makes Flekkerøy the favourite at 56%, against 19% for a draw and 25% for Våg.
- Where and when is Flekkerøy vs Våg played?
- Flekkerøy vs Våg is played on October 18, 2026 at 02:00 PM (UTC) at Cemo Arena Flekkerøy, in the 3. Division - Girone 4.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab model gives a 81% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.