Madla vs Staal Jørpeland: prediction and stats
3. Division - Girone 4Regular Season - 24Kick-off on October 17, 2026 at 12:00 PM (UTC)Madla Handelslag Stadion, Hafrsfjord
The Footlab model makes Madla the favourite at 75%, against 13% for a draw and 12% for Staal Jørpeland. The most likely score is 3-1.
This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Aug 25, 2026 — the full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Madla vs Staal Jørpeland?
Madla starts as the favourite with a 189-point Elo edge (1,720 vs 1,530).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Madla have 9 wins, 4 draws and 2 defeats; Staal Jørpeland have 5, 3 and 7.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 22, 2026 | Vidar(home) | 3-2 | NM Cupen |
| Aug 17, 2026 | Viking II(away) | 1-1 | 3. Division - Girone 4 |
| Aug 8, 2026 | Vindbjart(home) | 4-3 | 3. Division - Girone 4 |
| Aug 1, 2026 | Våg(away) | 3-2 | 3. Division - Girone 4 |
| Jul 25, 2026 | Flekkerøy(home) | 5-1 | 3. Division - Girone 4 |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 17, 2026 | Haugesund II(home) | 3-4 | 3. Division - Girone 4 |
| Aug 8, 2026 | Odd II(away) | 2-1 | 3. Division - Girone 4 |
| Aug 1, 2026 | Åkra(home) | 3-4 | 3. Division - Girone 4 |
| Jul 25, 2026 | Mandalskameratene(away) | 3-8 | 3. Division - Girone 4 |
| Jun 25, 2026 | Hinna(home) | 1-1 | 3. Division - Girone 4 |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 6 meetings: 3 Madla win(s), 1 draw(s), 2 Staal Jørpeland win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Apr 18, 2026 | Staal Jørpeland 0-3 Madla | 3. Division - Girone 4 |
| Aug 2, 2025 | Madla 3-2 Staal Jørpeland | 3. Division - Girone 5 |
| May 10, 2025 | Staal Jørpeland 1-4 Madla | 3. Division - Girone 5 |
| Oct 27, 2024 | Staal Jørpeland 2-1 Madla | 3. Division - Girone 2 |
| May 2, 2024 | Madla 2-5 Staal Jørpeland | 3. Division - Girone 2 |
| Aug 31, 2023 | Madla 3-3 Staal Jørpeland | 3. Division - Girone 3 |
Last archived meeting: Staal Jørpeland vs Madla on Apr 18, 2026
How many goals should we expect?
Madla score 2.5 and concede 1.5 goals per match over their last 15; Staal Jørpeland score 2.1 and concede 2.7. The model gives a 89% probability of over 2.5 goals and 77% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Madla | 2.5 | 1.5 | 3 | 12/15 | 13/15 |
| Staal Jørpeland | 2.1 | 2.7 | 2 | 12/15 | 12/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Madla sit 1st in 3. Division - Girone 4 (32 points from 16 matches) and Staal Jørpeland sit 10th (19 points from 16 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Madla | 16 | 9 | 5 | 2 | 40 | 24 | 32 |
| 10 | Staal Jørpeland | 16 | 5 | 4 | 7 | 33 | 41 | 19 |
Verdict, probable XI and verified absences
The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.
Open the full match card in the app
No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Madla vs Staal Jørpeland?
- The Footlab model makes Madla the favourite at 75%, against 13% for a draw and 12% for Staal Jørpeland.
- Where and when is Madla vs Staal Jørpeland played?
- Madla vs Staal Jørpeland is played on October 17, 2026 at 12:00 PM (UTC) at Madla Handelslag Stadion, in the 3. Division - Girone 4.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab model gives a 89% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.