Match

Flora III vs Chelsea U19: prediction and stats

UEFA Youth LeagueSemi-finalsKick-off on October 28, 2026 at 05:00 PM (UTC)Sportland Arena, Tallinn

Flora IIIChelsea U19

The Footlab AI model makes Chelsea U19 the favourite at 76%, against 14% for a draw and 10% for Flora III. The most likely score is 1-2.

Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome in 53.6% of the 3,738 matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy

Probabilities recomputed on Oct 27, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.

Who will win Flora III vs Chelsea U19?

Chelsea U19 is a heavy favourite: 1,702 Elo points against 1,311, a 391-point gap.

10%14%76%
Flora III winDrawChelsea U19 win

Computed by the Footlab AI model from our own data only, with no AI analysis.

See the probabilities after AI analysisThe AI adds press reports and last-minute absences, in the Footlab AI app. Sign-in required.

Probable lineup for Flora III vs Chelsea U19

Computed by Footlab AI from our own data only: recent lineups, squads and known absences. It does not take the press or last-minute absences into account.

Flora III

4-3-3
  1. 38U. Korjus
  2. 15K. Lorenz
  3. 29S. Alamaa
  1. 24E. Paltser
  2. 19M. Kukkonen
  3. 13J. Silm
  1. 12J. Palts
  2. 36P. Pihlak
  3. 17M. Kukk
  4. 16R. Sammul
  1. 22A. Tatrik

Chelsea U19

4-3-3
  1. 11J. Derry
  2. 7R. Kavuma McQueen
  3. 9Shumaira Mheuka
  1. 10R. Walsh
  2. 8Harrison Mcmahon
  3. 6O. Harrison
  1. 2G. Antwi
  2. 5L. Emenalo
  3. 4O. Subuloye
  4. 3Harrison Murray-Campbell
  1. 1F. Bernal

Computed on October 27, 2026 at 01:52 PM (UTC).

See the lineup updated by the AIPress reports and last-minute absences, in the Footlab AI app. Sign-in required.

What is the recent form of both teams?

Over their last 14 matches in all competitions, Flora III have 6 wins, 3 draws and 5 defeats; Chelsea U19 have 6, 4 and 5.

The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.

Flora III
DateOpponentScoreCompetition
Oct 14, 2026HB U19(away)4-1UEFA Youth League
Sep 16, 2026HB U19(home)3-0UEFA Youth League
Aug 19, 2026Keila(away)2-2Cup
Jul 29, 2026Põhja-Tallinna JK Volta(home)6-3Cup
Aug 12, 2025Tammeka(home)1-8Cup
Chelsea U19
DateOpponentScoreCompetition
Feb 25, 2026Real Madrid U19(away)0-1UEFA Youth League
Feb 3, 2026PSV U19(home)1-1UEFA Youth League
Dec 9, 2025Atalanta U19(away)3-1UEFA Youth League
Nov 25, 2025Barcelona U19(home)1-1UEFA Youth League
Nov 5, 2025Qarabağ U19(away)5-0UEFA Youth League

How many goals should we expect?

Flora III score 3.1 and concede 2.9 goals per match over their last 14; Chelsea U19 score 2.3 and concede 2.0. The model gives a 77% probability of over 2.5 goals and 62% for both teams to score.

ClubGoals scored / matchGoals conceded / matchClean sheetsBoth teams scoredOver 2.5 goals
Flora III3.12.964/1411/14
Chelsea U192.32.0212/1510/15

Over the last 14 matches in all competitions.

Where do both teams sit in the table?

2025-26 standings
#ClubPWDLGFGAPts
1Chelsea U19651023916

A question about Flora III vs Chelsea U19?

Ask Footlab AI: lineups, absences, player form, stats, how the match could unfold.

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Sign-in required. No odds displayed, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.

How does Footlab AI compute this prediction?

The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. When bookmakers publish odds for the match, their consensus is built into the calculation: that is what proved most accurate on past matches. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite for Flora III vs Chelsea U19?
The Footlab AI model makes Chelsea U19 the favourite at 76%, against 14% for a draw and 10% for Flora III.
Where and when is Flora III vs Chelsea U19 played?
Flora III vs Chelsea U19 is played on October 28, 2026 at 05:00 PM (UTC) at Sportland Arena, in the UEFA Youth League.
Will there be over 2.5 goals?
The Footlab AI model gives a 77% probability of at least three goals in this match.
How reliable is this prediction?
Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome (home win, draw or away win) in 53.6% of the matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing, a level comparable with the bookmakers' favourite. The comparison with bookmakers and the breakdown by competition and Elo gap are published on the accuracy page.

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