Fortaleza EC vs Maranguape: prediction and stats
Cearense - 1Regular Season - 3Kick-off on January 12, 2027 at 09:00 PM (UTC)Estádio Governador Plácido Aderaldo Castelo, Fortaleza, Ceará
The Footlab AI model makes Fortaleza EC the favourite at 84%, against 12% for a draw and 4% for Maranguape. The most likely score is 2-0.
Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome in 54.3% of the 4,475 matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Nov 4, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Fortaleza EC vs Maranguape?
Fortaleza EC is a heavy favourite: 1,790 Elo points against 1,488, a 303-point gap.
Computed by the Footlab AI model from our own data only, with no AI analysis.
Probable lineup for Fortaleza EC vs Maranguape
Computed by Footlab AI from our own data only: recent lineups, squads and known absences. It does not take the press or last-minute absences into account.
Fortaleza EC
3-4-3- 16Pedro Henrique
- 91Francisco da Costa
- 32Luiz Fernando
- 22Maílton
- 5Pierre
- 75Rodriguinho
- 11Vitinho
- 15Bartolomeu Jacinto Quissanga
- 23Neris
- 20Jaílson
- 1João Ricardo
Maranguape
4-3-3- 9Hulk Felipe
- 19Breno Araujo
- 11Pedrinho
- 7Clodo
- 8Lessinho
- 10Luis Guilherme
- 3Mael
- 2Rian Kelvi
- 16Nailton
- 23Germano
- 12Otavio de Oliveira Duarte
Computed on November 4, 2026 at 07:12 AM (UTC).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Fortaleza EC have 6 wins, 9 draws and 0 defeats; Maranguape have 8, 2 and 5.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 2, 2026 | Atletico Goianiense(home) | 0-0 | Serie B |
| Oct 24, 2026 | Ponte Preta(away) | 2-2 | Serie B |
| Oct 16, 2026 | Sport Recife(away) | 2-0 | Serie B |
| Oct 12, 2026 | CRB(home) | 2-2 | Serie B |
| Oct 7, 2026 | America Mineiro(away) | 1-0 | Serie B |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Feb 9, 2026 | Quixada(away) | 3-1 | Cearense - 1 |
| Feb 3, 2026 | Tirol/CEFAT(home) | 3-2 | Cearense - 1 |
| Jan 28, 2026 | Maracanã(home) | 1-1 | Cearense - 1 |
| Jan 17, 2026 | Floresta(home) | 0-3 | Cearense - 1 |
| Jan 15, 2026 | Ceara(away) | 0-1 | Cearense - 1 |
How many goals should we expect?
Fortaleza EC score 1.3 and concede 0.7 goals per match over their last 15; Maranguape score 1.5 and concede 1.1. The model gives a 63% probability of over 2.5 goals and 36% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Fortaleza EC | 1.3 | 0.7 | 7 | 8/15 | 4/15 |
| Maranguape | 1.5 | 1.1 | 4 | 7/15 | 8/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Fortaleza EC sit 1st in Cearense - 1 (10 points from 4 matches) and Maranguape sit 1st (7 points from 3 matches).
The current season has no played match yet: final standings of the 2026 season.
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Fortaleza ECCearense: Regular season | 4 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 6 | 0 | 10 |
| 1 | MaranguapeCearense: Relegation Group | 3 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 7 | 4 | 7 |
A question about Fortaleza EC vs Maranguape?
Ask Footlab AI: lineups, absences, player form, stats, how the match could unfold.
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How does Footlab AI compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. When bookmakers publish odds for the match, their consensus is built into the calculation: that is what proved most accurate on past matches. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Fortaleza EC vs Maranguape?
- The Footlab AI model makes Fortaleza EC the favourite at 84%, against 12% for a draw and 4% for Maranguape.
- Where and when is Fortaleza EC vs Maranguape played?
- Fortaleza EC vs Maranguape is played on January 12, 2027 at 09:00 PM (UTC) at Estádio Governador Plácido Aderaldo Castelo, in the Cearense - 1.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab AI model gives a 63% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome (home win, draw or away win) in 54.3% of the matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing, a level comparable with the bookmakers' favourite. The comparison with bookmakers and the breakdown by competition and Elo gap are published on the accuracy page.