Florgrade vs Portimonense: prediction and stats
Taça de PortugalRound of 64Kick-off on October 17, 2026 at 02:00 PM (UTC)Campo do Buçaquinho, Cortegaça
The Footlab AI model makes Florgrade the favourite at 42%, against 25% for a draw and 33% for Portimonense. The most likely score is 1-1. If Florgrade wins, the most likely score is 2-1.
Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome in 54.6% of the 2,402 matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Oct 15, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Florgrade vs Portimonense?
A very open match: only 24 Elo points separate Florgrade (1,923) and Portimonense (1,947).
Computed by the Footlab AI model from our own data only, with no AI analysis.
Probable lineup for Florgrade vs Portimonense
Computed by Footlab AI from our own data only: recent lineups, squads and known absences. It does not take the press or last-minute absences into account.
Florgrade
Not enough data to predict the Florgrade lineup.
Portimonense
3-4-3- 7Danio Djassi
- 2Edney
- 10S. Nakajima
- 15Xavier
- 8João Casimiro
- 9S. Yépié Yépié
- 21Yanis da Rocha
- 17João Reis
- 3Jarleysom Amurim
- 6S. Neves
- 1Dudu
Computed on October 15, 2026 at 03:59 AM (UTC).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Florgrade have 7 wins, 4 draws and 4 defeats; Portimonense have 7, 3 and 5.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 10, 2026 | Machico(away) | 0-4 | Campeonato de Portugal Prio - Group B |
| Sep 27, 2026 | Camacha(away) | 1-0 | Taça de Portugal |
| Sep 13, 2026 | Sanjoanense(home) | 2-0 | Campeonato de Portugal Prio - Group B |
| Sep 6, 2026 | Camacha(away) | 0-1 | Campeonato de Portugal Prio - Group B |
| Aug 30, 2026 | São João Ver(home) | 0-0 | Taça de Portugal |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 10, 2026 | Amarante(away) | 2-1 | Segunda Liga |
| Sep 19, 2026 | Castro Daire(away) | 1-0 | Taça de Portugal |
| Sep 12, 2026 | Tondela(home) | 0-2 | Segunda Liga |
| Sep 6, 2026 | União de Leiria(away) | 0-1 | Segunda Liga |
| Aug 29, 2026 | Leixoes(home) | 0-2 | Segunda Liga |
How many goals should we expect?
Florgrade score 1.0 and concede 1.1 goals per match over their last 15; Portimonense score 1.1 and concede 1.1. The model gives a 60% probability of over 2.5 goals and 63% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Florgrade | 1.0 | 1.1 | 7 | 5/15 | 4/15 |
| Portimonense | 1.1 | 1.1 | 5 | 6/15 | 4/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
A question about Florgrade vs Portimonense?
Ask Footlab AI: lineups, absences, player form, stats, how the match could unfold.
Sign-in required. No odds displayed, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab AI compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. When bookmakers publish odds for the match, their consensus is built into the calculation: that is what proved most accurate on past matches. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Florgrade vs Portimonense?
- The Footlab AI model makes Florgrade the favourite at 42%, against 25% for a draw and 33% for Portimonense.
- Where and when is Florgrade vs Portimonense played?
- Florgrade vs Portimonense is played on October 17, 2026 at 02:00 PM (UTC) at Campo do Buçaquinho, in the Taça de Portugal.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab AI model gives a 60% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome (home win, draw or away win) in 54.6% of the matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing, a level comparable with the bookmakers' favourite. The comparison with bookmakers and the breakdown by competition and Elo gap are published on the accuracy page.