Vianense vs Leixoes: prediction and stats
Taça de PortugalRound of 64Kick-off on October 17, 2026 at 02:00 PM (UTC)Estádio Dr. José de Matos, Viana do Castelo
The Footlab AI model makes Leixoes the favourite at 46%, against 24% for a draw and 30% for Vianense. The most likely score is 1-1. If Leixoes wins, the most likely score is 1-2.
Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome in 54.8% of the 2,460 matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Oct 16, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Vianense vs Leixoes?
A very open match: only 32 Elo points separate Vianense (1,957) and Leixoes (1,989).
Computed by the Footlab AI model from our own data only, with no AI analysis.
Probable lineup for Vianense vs Leixoes
Computed by Footlab AI from our own data only: recent lineups, squads and known absences. It does not take the press or last-minute absences into account.
Vianense
4-3-3- 7Moisés Conceição
- 9Pedro Soares
- 80Rodrigo Melro
- 10Reko Silva
- 8B. Silva
- 68D. Maga
- 12João Faria
- 3Laercio
- 19G. Faria
- 21Henrique Brito
- 13Nuno Silva
Leixoes
4-1-3-2- 7Salvador Agra
- 6A. Balde
- 22Cláudio Vítor Rodrigues Araújo
- 8Miguel Sousa
- 10Rafael Barbosa
- 80João Assunção
- 4Matheus Costa
- 77Paulinho
- 15Simãozinho
- 63H. Faria
- 51I. Stefanović
Computed on October 16, 2026 at 05:12 PM (UTC).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Vianense have 7 wins, 3 draws and 5 defeats; Leixoes have 9, 2 and 4.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 10, 2026 | Paredes(home) | 3-3 | Liga 3 |
| Sep 12, 2026 | Varzim(away) | 2-1 | Liga 3 |
| Sep 5, 2026 | Pacos Ferreira(home) | 2-2 | Liga 3 |
| Aug 30, 2026 | Minas de Argozelo(home) | 8-0 | Taça de Portugal |
| Aug 23, 2026 | AD Marco 09(away) | 0-2 | Liga 3 |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 10, 2026 | FC Porto B(home) | 1-2 | Segunda Liga |
| Sep 20, 2026 | Cinfães(away) | 4-0 | Taça de Portugal |
| Sep 11, 2026 | Torreense(away) | 0-0 | Segunda Liga |
| Sep 6, 2026 | Amarante(home) | 3-1 | Segunda Liga |
| Aug 29, 2026 | Portimonense(away) | 2-0 | Segunda Liga |
How many goals should we expect?
Vianense score 2.1 and concede 1.4 goals per match over their last 15; Leixoes score 2.4 and concede 1.4. The model gives a 64% probability of over 2.5 goals and 65% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Vianense | 2.1 | 1.4 | 6 | 6/15 | 9/15 |
| Leixoes | 2.4 | 1.4 | 4 | 10/15 | 11/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
A question about Vianense vs Leixoes?
Ask Footlab AI: lineups, absences, player form, stats, how the match could unfold.
Sign-in required. No odds displayed, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab AI compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. When bookmakers publish odds for the match, their consensus is built into the calculation: that is what proved most accurate on past matches. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Vianense vs Leixoes?
- The Footlab AI model makes Leixoes the favourite at 46%, against 24% for a draw and 30% for Vianense.
- Where and when is Vianense vs Leixoes played?
- Vianense vs Leixoes is played on October 17, 2026 at 02:00 PM (UTC) at Estádio Dr. José de Matos, in the Taça de Portugal.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab AI model gives a 64% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome (home win, draw or away win) in 54.8% of the matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing, a level comparable with the bookmakers' favourite. The comparison with bookmakers and the breakdown by competition and Elo gap are published on the accuracy page.