Florina vs PAS Giannina: prediction and stats
Gamma Ethniki - Group 3Group 3 - 16Kick-off on January 17, 2027 at 01:00 PM (UTC)
The Footlab model makes Florina the favourite at 38%, against 29% for a draw and 32% for PAS Giannina. The most likely score is 1-1.
This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Aug 25, 2026 — the full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Florina vs PAS Giannina?
PAS Giannina starts as the favourite with a 130-point Elo edge (1,559 vs 1,429).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Florina have 4 wins, 4 draws and 7 defeats; PAS Giannina have 3, 3 and 9.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 8, 2020 | Niki Agkathia(home) | 0-1 | Gamma Ethniki - Group 2 |
| Feb 29, 2020 | Giannitsa(home) | 3-3 | Gamma Ethniki - Group 2 |
| Feb 23, 2020 | Almopos(away) | 0-7 | Gamma Ethniki - Group 2 |
| Feb 16, 2020 | Makedonikos Neapolis(home) | 0-0 | Gamma Ethniki - Group 2 |
| Feb 9, 2020 | Nea Kallikrateia(away) | 2-0 | Gamma Ethniki - Group 2 |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Apr 26, 2026 | Kampaniakos Chalastra(home) | 4-3 | Super League 2 |
| Apr 22, 2026 | Nestos Chrisoupolis(away) | 0-1 | Super League 2 |
| Apr 18, 2026 | Kavala(home) | 3-1 | Super League 2 |
| Apr 8, 2026 | PAOK II(away) | 1-2 | Super League 2 |
| Apr 5, 2026 | Makedonikos Neapolis(home) | 2-2 | Super League 2 |
How many goals should we expect?
Florina score 1.1 and concede 1.7 goals per match over their last 15; PAS Giannina score 1.1 and concede 1.7. The model gives a 43% probability of over 2.5 goals and 49% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Florina | 1.1 | 1.7 | 6 | 4/15 | 7/15 |
| PAS Giannina | 1.1 | 1.7 | 2 | 8/15 | 8/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Verdict, probable XI and verified absences
The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.
Open the full match card in the app
No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Florina vs PAS Giannina?
- The Footlab model makes Florina the favourite at 38%, against 29% for a draw and 32% for PAS Giannina.
- Where and when is Florina vs PAS Giannina played?
- Florina vs PAS Giannina is played on January 17, 2027 at 01:00 PM (UTC), in the Gamma Ethniki - Group 3.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab model gives a 43% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.