Match

Flota Świnoujście vs Lipno Stęszew: prediction and stats

III Liga - Group 2Group II - 24Kick-off on March 27, 2027 at 04:00 PM (UTC)Stadion Miejski, Świnoujście

Flota ŚwinoujścieLipno Stęszew

The Footlab model makes Flota Świnoujście the favourite at 45%, against 24% for a draw and 31% for Lipno Stęszew. The most likely score is 1-1.

This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy

Probabilities recomputed on Aug 27, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.

Who will win Flota Świnoujście vs Lipno Stęszew?

A very open match: only 13 Elo points separate Flota Świnoujście (1,722) and Lipno Stęszew (1,708).

Flota Świnoujście win45 %
Draw24 %
Lipno Stęszew win31 %

What is the recent form of both teams?

Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Flota Świnoujście have 5 wins, 4 draws and 6 defeats; Lipno Stęszew have 7, 1 and 7.

The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.

Flota Świnoujście
DateOpponentScoreCompetition
Aug 22, 2026Chemik Bydgoszcz(away)1-1III Liga - Group 2
Aug 19, 2026Victoria Września(home)5-0III Liga - Group 2
Aug 15, 2026Bałtyk Koszalin(away)2-1III Liga - Group 2
Aug 8, 2026Kotwica Kórnik(home)2-0III Liga - Group 2
Aug 1, 2026Kalisz(home)0-1III Liga - Group 2
Lipno Stęszew
DateOpponentScoreCompetition
Aug 22, 2026Polonia Środa(home)2-3III Liga - Group 2
Aug 19, 2026Lech Poznań II(away)0-1III Liga - Group 2
Aug 15, 2026Kluczevia Stargard(home)1-4III Liga - Group 2
Aug 8, 2026Wda Świecie(away)1-2III Liga - Group 2
Aug 1, 2026Elana Toruń(away)1-1III Liga - Group 2

What does the head-to-head say?

Across the last 2 meetings: 2 Flota Świnoujście win(s), 0 draw(s), 0 Lipno Stęszew win(s).

DateScoreCompetition
Mar 21, 2026Lipno Stęszew 2-3 Flota ŚwinoujścieIII Liga - Group 2
Aug 30, 2025Flota Świnoujście 4-0 Lipno StęszewIII Liga - Group 2

Last archived meeting: Lipno Stęszew vs Flota Świnoujście on Mar 21, 2026

How many goals should we expect?

Flota Świnoujście score 1.3 and concede 1.3 goals per match over their last 15; Lipno Stęszew score 1.3 and concede 1.7. The model gives a 62% probability of over 2.5 goals and 64% for both teams to score.

ClubGoals scored / matchGoals conceded / matchClean sheetsBoth teams scoredOver 2.5 goals
Flota Świnoujście1.31.347/158/15
Lipno Stęszew1.31.747/159/15

Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.

Where do both teams sit in the table?

Flota Świnoujście sit 5th in III Liga - Group 2 (10 points from 5 matches) and Lipno Stęszew sit 17th (1 points from 5 matches).

2026-27 standings
#ClubPWDLGFGAPts
5Flota Świnoujście531110310
17Lipno Stęszew50145111

Verdict, probable XI and verified absences

The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.

Open the full match card in the app

No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.

How does Footlab compute this prediction?

The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite for Flota Świnoujście vs Lipno Stęszew?
The Footlab model makes Flota Świnoujście the favourite at 45%, against 24% for a draw and 31% for Lipno Stęszew.
Where and when is Flota Świnoujście vs Lipno Stęszew played?
Flota Świnoujście vs Lipno Stęszew is played on March 27, 2027 at 04:00 PM (UTC) at Stadion Miejski, in the III Liga - Group 2.
Will there be over 2.5 goals?
The Footlab model gives a 62% probability of at least three goals in this match.
How reliable is this prediction?
The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.

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Next match: Flota Świnoujście and Lipno Stęszew

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