Flota Świnoujście vs Lipno Stęszew: prediction and stats
III Liga - Group 2Group II - 24Kick-off on March 27, 2027 at 04:00 PM (UTC)Stadion Miejski, Świnoujście
The Footlab model makes Flota Świnoujście the favourite at 45%, against 24% for a draw and 31% for Lipno Stęszew. The most likely score is 1-1.
This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Aug 27, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Flota Świnoujście vs Lipno Stęszew?
A very open match: only 13 Elo points separate Flota Świnoujście (1,722) and Lipno Stęszew (1,708).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Flota Świnoujście have 5 wins, 4 draws and 6 defeats; Lipno Stęszew have 7, 1 and 7.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 22, 2026 | Chemik Bydgoszcz(away) | 1-1 | III Liga - Group 2 |
| Aug 19, 2026 | Victoria Września(home) | 5-0 | III Liga - Group 2 |
| Aug 15, 2026 | Bałtyk Koszalin(away) | 2-1 | III Liga - Group 2 |
| Aug 8, 2026 | Kotwica Kórnik(home) | 2-0 | III Liga - Group 2 |
| Aug 1, 2026 | Kalisz(home) | 0-1 | III Liga - Group 2 |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 22, 2026 | Polonia Środa(home) | 2-3 | III Liga - Group 2 |
| Aug 19, 2026 | Lech Poznań II(away) | 0-1 | III Liga - Group 2 |
| Aug 15, 2026 | Kluczevia Stargard(home) | 1-4 | III Liga - Group 2 |
| Aug 8, 2026 | Wda Świecie(away) | 1-2 | III Liga - Group 2 |
| Aug 1, 2026 | Elana Toruń(away) | 1-1 | III Liga - Group 2 |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 2 meetings: 2 Flota Świnoujście win(s), 0 draw(s), 0 Lipno Stęszew win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Mar 21, 2026 | Lipno Stęszew 2-3 Flota Świnoujście | III Liga - Group 2 |
| Aug 30, 2025 | Flota Świnoujście 4-0 Lipno Stęszew | III Liga - Group 2 |
Last archived meeting: Lipno Stęszew vs Flota Świnoujście on Mar 21, 2026
How many goals should we expect?
Flota Świnoujście score 1.3 and concede 1.3 goals per match over their last 15; Lipno Stęszew score 1.3 and concede 1.7. The model gives a 62% probability of over 2.5 goals and 64% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Flota Świnoujście | 1.3 | 1.3 | 4 | 7/15 | 8/15 |
| Lipno Stęszew | 1.3 | 1.7 | 4 | 7/15 | 9/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Flota Świnoujście sit 5th in III Liga - Group 2 (10 points from 5 matches) and Lipno Stęszew sit 17th (1 points from 5 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5 | Flota Świnoujście | 5 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 10 | 3 | 10 |
| 17 | Lipno Stęszew | 5 | 0 | 1 | 4 | 5 | 11 | 1 |
Verdict, probable XI and verified absences
The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.
Open the full match card in the app
No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Flota Świnoujście vs Lipno Stęszew?
- The Footlab model makes Flota Świnoujście the favourite at 45%, against 24% for a draw and 31% for Lipno Stęszew.
- Where and when is Flota Świnoujście vs Lipno Stęszew played?
- Flota Świnoujście vs Lipno Stęszew is played on March 27, 2027 at 04:00 PM (UTC) at Stadion Miejski, in the III Liga - Group 2.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab model gives a 62% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.
Other matches in the same round
- Mar 27, 2027Polonia ŚrodavsGrom Nowy Staw
- Mar 27, 2027Lech Poznań IIvsUnia Swarzędz
- Mar 27, 2027KaliszvsVictoria Września
- Mar 27, 2027Bałtyk KoszalinvsChemik Bydgoszcz
- Mar 27, 2027Kluczevia StargardvsNoteć Czarnków
- Mar 27, 2027LuzinovsGedania Gdansk
- Mar 27, 2027Kotwica KórnikvsStargard Szczeciński
- Mar 27, 2027Wda ŚwiecievsElana Toruń