Match

Kluczevia Stargard vs Noteć Czarnków: prediction and stats

III Liga - Group 2Group II - 24Kick-off on March 27, 2027 at 04:00 PM (UTC)Boisko ZKS Kluczevia, Stargard

Kluczevia StargardNoteć Czarnków

The Footlab model makes Kluczevia Stargard the favourite at 43%, against 24% for a draw and 33% for Noteć Czarnków. The most likely score is 1-1.

This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy

Probabilities recomputed on Aug 27, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.

Who will win Kluczevia Stargard vs Noteć Czarnków?

A very open match: only 17 Elo points separate Kluczevia Stargard (1,773) and Noteć Czarnków (1,791).

Kluczevia Stargard win43 %
Draw24 %
Noteć Czarnków win33 %

What is the recent form of both teams?

Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Kluczevia Stargard have 7 wins, 3 draws and 5 defeats; Noteć Czarnków have 8, 1 and 6.

The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.

Kluczevia Stargard
DateOpponentScoreCompetition
Aug 23, 2026Grom Nowy Staw(away)4-3III Liga - Group 2
Aug 19, 2026Gedania Gdansk(home)2-2III Liga - Group 2
Aug 15, 2026Lipno Stęszew(away)4-1III Liga - Group 2
Aug 8, 2026Stargard Szczeciński(home)2-1III Liga - Group 2
Aug 1, 2026Chemik Bydgoszcz(away)3-3III Liga - Group 2
Noteć Czarnków
DateOpponentScoreCompetition
Aug 22, 2026Elana Toruń(home)3-1III Liga - Group 2
Aug 19, 2026Kalisz(away)1-0III Liga - Group 2
Aug 14, 2026Unia Swarzędz(away)3-0III Liga - Group 2
Aug 8, 2026Grom Nowy Staw(home)0-2III Liga - Group 2
Jul 31, 2026Gedania Gdansk(away)3-5III Liga - Group 2

What does the head-to-head say?

Across the last 2 meetings: 1 Kluczevia Stargard win(s), 1 draw(s), 0 Noteć Czarnków win(s).

DateScoreCompetition
Apr 18, 2026Kluczevia Stargard 3-0 Noteć CzarnkówIII Liga - Group 2
Sep 27, 2025Noteć Czarnków 1-1 Kluczevia StargardIII Liga - Group 2

Last archived meeting: Kluczevia Stargard vs Noteć Czarnków on Apr 18, 2026

How many goals should we expect?

Kluczevia Stargard score 2.1 and concede 1.7 goals per match over their last 15; Noteć Czarnków score 1.7 and concede 1.3. The model gives a 63% probability of over 2.5 goals and 64% for both teams to score.

ClubGoals scored / matchGoals conceded / matchClean sheetsBoth teams scoredOver 2.5 goals
Kluczevia Stargard2.11.7212/1514/15
Noteć Czarnków1.71.347/159/15

Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.

Where do both teams sit in the table?

Kluczevia Stargard sit 2nd in III Liga - Group 2 (11 points from 5 matches) and Noteć Czarnków sit 7th (9 points from 5 matches).

2026-27 standings
#ClubPWDLGFGAPts
2Kluczevia Stargard5320151011
7Noteć Czarnków53021089

Verdict, probable XI and verified absences

The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.

Open the full match card in the app

No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.

How does Footlab compute this prediction?

The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite for Kluczevia Stargard vs Noteć Czarnków?
The Footlab model makes Kluczevia Stargard the favourite at 43%, against 24% for a draw and 33% for Noteć Czarnków.
Where and when is Kluczevia Stargard vs Noteć Czarnków played?
Kluczevia Stargard vs Noteć Czarnków is played on March 27, 2027 at 04:00 PM (UTC) at Boisko ZKS Kluczevia, in the III Liga - Group 2.
Will there be over 2.5 goals?
The Footlab model gives a 63% probability of at least three goals in this match.
How reliable is this prediction?
The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.

Other matches in the same round

Next match: Kluczevia Stargard and Noteć Czarnków

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