Kluczevia Stargard vs Noteć Czarnków: prediction and stats
III Liga - Group 2Group II - 24Kick-off on March 27, 2027 at 04:00 PM (UTC)Boisko ZKS Kluczevia, Stargard
The Footlab model makes Kluczevia Stargard the favourite at 43%, against 24% for a draw and 33% for Noteć Czarnków. The most likely score is 1-1.
This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Aug 27, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Kluczevia Stargard vs Noteć Czarnków?
A very open match: only 17 Elo points separate Kluczevia Stargard (1,773) and Noteć Czarnków (1,791).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Kluczevia Stargard have 7 wins, 3 draws and 5 defeats; Noteć Czarnków have 8, 1 and 6.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 23, 2026 | Grom Nowy Staw(away) | 4-3 | III Liga - Group 2 |
| Aug 19, 2026 | Gedania Gdansk(home) | 2-2 | III Liga - Group 2 |
| Aug 15, 2026 | Lipno Stęszew(away) | 4-1 | III Liga - Group 2 |
| Aug 8, 2026 | Stargard Szczeciński(home) | 2-1 | III Liga - Group 2 |
| Aug 1, 2026 | Chemik Bydgoszcz(away) | 3-3 | III Liga - Group 2 |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 22, 2026 | Elana Toruń(home) | 3-1 | III Liga - Group 2 |
| Aug 19, 2026 | Kalisz(away) | 1-0 | III Liga - Group 2 |
| Aug 14, 2026 | Unia Swarzędz(away) | 3-0 | III Liga - Group 2 |
| Aug 8, 2026 | Grom Nowy Staw(home) | 0-2 | III Liga - Group 2 |
| Jul 31, 2026 | Gedania Gdansk(away) | 3-5 | III Liga - Group 2 |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 2 meetings: 1 Kluczevia Stargard win(s), 1 draw(s), 0 Noteć Czarnków win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Apr 18, 2026 | Kluczevia Stargard 3-0 Noteć Czarnków | III Liga - Group 2 |
| Sep 27, 2025 | Noteć Czarnków 1-1 Kluczevia Stargard | III Liga - Group 2 |
Last archived meeting: Kluczevia Stargard vs Noteć Czarnków on Apr 18, 2026
How many goals should we expect?
Kluczevia Stargard score 2.1 and concede 1.7 goals per match over their last 15; Noteć Czarnków score 1.7 and concede 1.3. The model gives a 63% probability of over 2.5 goals and 64% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Kluczevia Stargard | 2.1 | 1.7 | 2 | 12/15 | 14/15 |
| Noteć Czarnków | 1.7 | 1.3 | 4 | 7/15 | 9/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Kluczevia Stargard sit 2nd in III Liga - Group 2 (11 points from 5 matches) and Noteć Czarnków sit 7th (9 points from 5 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | Kluczevia Stargard | 5 | 3 | 2 | 0 | 15 | 10 | 11 |
| 7 | Noteć Czarnków | 5 | 3 | 0 | 2 | 10 | 8 | 9 |
Verdict, probable XI and verified absences
The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.
Open the full match card in the app
No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Kluczevia Stargard vs Noteć Czarnków?
- The Footlab model makes Kluczevia Stargard the favourite at 43%, against 24% for a draw and 33% for Noteć Czarnków.
- Where and when is Kluczevia Stargard vs Noteć Czarnków played?
- Kluczevia Stargard vs Noteć Czarnków is played on March 27, 2027 at 04:00 PM (UTC) at Boisko ZKS Kluczevia, in the III Liga - Group 2.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab model gives a 63% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.
Other matches in the same round
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- Mar 27, 2027Lech Poznań IIvsUnia Swarzędz
- Mar 27, 2027KaliszvsVictoria Września
- Mar 27, 2027Bałtyk KoszalinvsChemik Bydgoszcz
- Mar 27, 2027Flota ŚwinoujścievsLipno Stęszew
- Mar 27, 2027LuzinovsGedania Gdansk
- Mar 27, 2027Kotwica KórnikvsStargard Szczeciński
- Mar 27, 2027Wda ŚwiecievsElana Toruń