Lech Poznań II vs Unia Swarzędz: prediction and stats
III Liga - Group 2Group II - 24Kick-off on March 27, 2027 at 04:00 PM (UTC)Stadion Amiki Wronki, Wronki
The Footlab model makes Lech Poznań II the favourite at 43%, against 24% for a draw and 33% for Unia Swarzędz. The most likely score is 1-1.
This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Aug 27, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Lech Poznań II vs Unia Swarzędz?
A very open match: only 16 Elo points separate Lech Poznań II (1,779) and Unia Swarzędz (1,763).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Lech Poznań II have 6 wins, 4 draws and 5 defeats; Unia Swarzędz have 9, 1 and 5.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 23, 2026 | Gedania Gdansk(away) | 3-2 | III Liga - Group 2 |
| Aug 19, 2026 | Lipno Stęszew(home) | 1-0 | III Liga - Group 2 |
| Aug 15, 2026 | Stargard Szczeciński(away) | 2-4 | III Liga - Group 2 |
| Aug 8, 2026 | Chemik Bydgoszcz(home) | 1-1 | III Liga - Group 2 |
| Aug 1, 2026 | Victoria Września(away) | 5-2 | III Liga - Group 2 |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 23, 2026 | Wda Świecie(home) | 0-1 | III Liga - Group 2 |
| Aug 19, 2026 | Elana Toruń(away) | 3-2 | III Liga - Group 2 |
| Aug 14, 2026 | Noteć Czarnków(home) | 0-3 | III Liga - Group 2 |
| Aug 9, 2026 | Kalisz(away) | 0-1 | III Liga - Group 2 |
| Aug 1, 2026 | Grom Nowy Staw(away) | 3-2 | III Liga - Group 2 |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 4 meetings: 3 Lech Poznań II win(s), 0 draw(s), 1 Unia Swarzędz win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Mar 14, 2026 | Lech Poznań II 2-0 Unia Swarzędz | III Liga - Group 2 |
| Aug 27, 2025 | Unia Swarzędz 1-4 Lech Poznań II | III Liga - Group 2 |
| Apr 26, 2025 | Unia Swarzędz 2-1 Lech Poznań II | III Liga - Group 2 |
| Sep 29, 2024 | Lech Poznań II 3-1 Unia Swarzędz | III Liga - Group 2 |
Last archived meeting: Lech Poznań II vs Unia Swarzędz on Mar 14, 2026
How many goals should we expect?
Lech Poznań II score 2.1 and concede 1.9 goals per match over their last 15; Unia Swarzędz score 1.9 and concede 1.7. The model gives a 66% probability of over 2.5 goals and 67% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Lech Poznań II | 2.1 | 1.9 | 3 | 11/15 | 12/15 |
| Unia Swarzędz | 1.9 | 1.7 | 4 | 8/15 | 11/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Lech Poznań II sit 6th in III Liga - Group 2 (10 points from 5 matches) and Unia Swarzędz sit 11th (6 points from 5 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 6 | Lech Poznań II | 5 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 12 | 9 | 10 |
| 11 | Unia Swarzędz | 5 | 2 | 0 | 3 | 6 | 9 | 6 |
Verdict, probable XI and verified absences
The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.
Open the full match card in the app
No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Lech Poznań II vs Unia Swarzędz?
- The Footlab model makes Lech Poznań II the favourite at 43%, against 24% for a draw and 33% for Unia Swarzędz.
- Where and when is Lech Poznań II vs Unia Swarzędz played?
- Lech Poznań II vs Unia Swarzędz is played on March 27, 2027 at 04:00 PM (UTC) at Stadion Amiki Wronki, in the III Liga - Group 2.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab model gives a 66% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.
Other matches in the same round
- Mar 27, 2027Polonia ŚrodavsGrom Nowy Staw
- Mar 27, 2027KaliszvsVictoria Września
- Mar 27, 2027Bałtyk KoszalinvsChemik Bydgoszcz
- Mar 27, 2027Flota ŚwinoujścievsLipno Stęszew
- Mar 27, 2027Kluczevia StargardvsNoteć Czarnków
- Mar 27, 2027LuzinovsGedania Gdansk
- Mar 27, 2027Kotwica KórnikvsStargard Szczeciński
- Mar 27, 2027Wda ŚwiecievsElana Toruń