Match

Lech Poznań II vs Unia Swarzędz: prediction and stats

III Liga - Group 2Group II - 24Kick-off on March 27, 2027 at 04:00 PM (UTC)Stadion Amiki Wronki, Wronki

Lech Poznań IIUnia Swarzędz

The Footlab model makes Lech Poznań II the favourite at 43%, against 24% for a draw and 33% for Unia Swarzędz. The most likely score is 1-1.

This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy

Probabilities recomputed on Aug 27, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.

Who will win Lech Poznań II vs Unia Swarzędz?

A very open match: only 16 Elo points separate Lech Poznań II (1,779) and Unia Swarzędz (1,763).

Lech Poznań II win43 %
Draw24 %
Unia Swarzędz win33 %

What is the recent form of both teams?

Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Lech Poznań II have 6 wins, 4 draws and 5 defeats; Unia Swarzędz have 9, 1 and 5.

The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.

Lech Poznań II
DateOpponentScoreCompetition
Aug 23, 2026Gedania Gdansk(away)3-2III Liga - Group 2
Aug 19, 2026Lipno Stęszew(home)1-0III Liga - Group 2
Aug 15, 2026Stargard Szczeciński(away)2-4III Liga - Group 2
Aug 8, 2026Chemik Bydgoszcz(home)1-1III Liga - Group 2
Aug 1, 2026Victoria Września(away)5-2III Liga - Group 2
Unia Swarzędz
DateOpponentScoreCompetition
Aug 23, 2026Wda Świecie(home)0-1III Liga - Group 2
Aug 19, 2026Elana Toruń(away)3-2III Liga - Group 2
Aug 14, 2026Noteć Czarnków(home)0-3III Liga - Group 2
Aug 9, 2026Kalisz(away)0-1III Liga - Group 2
Aug 1, 2026Grom Nowy Staw(away)3-2III Liga - Group 2

What does the head-to-head say?

Across the last 4 meetings: 3 Lech Poznań II win(s), 0 draw(s), 1 Unia Swarzędz win(s).

DateScoreCompetition
Mar 14, 2026Lech Poznań II 2-0 Unia SwarzędzIII Liga - Group 2
Aug 27, 2025Unia Swarzędz 1-4 Lech Poznań IIIII Liga - Group 2
Apr 26, 2025Unia Swarzędz 2-1 Lech Poznań IIIII Liga - Group 2
Sep 29, 2024Lech Poznań II 3-1 Unia SwarzędzIII Liga - Group 2

Last archived meeting: Lech Poznań II vs Unia Swarzędz on Mar 14, 2026

How many goals should we expect?

Lech Poznań II score 2.1 and concede 1.9 goals per match over their last 15; Unia Swarzędz score 1.9 and concede 1.7. The model gives a 66% probability of over 2.5 goals and 67% for both teams to score.

ClubGoals scored / matchGoals conceded / matchClean sheetsBoth teams scoredOver 2.5 goals
Lech Poznań II2.11.9311/1512/15
Unia Swarzędz1.91.748/1511/15

Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.

Where do both teams sit in the table?

Lech Poznań II sit 6th in III Liga - Group 2 (10 points from 5 matches) and Unia Swarzędz sit 11th (6 points from 5 matches).

2026-27 standings
#ClubPWDLGFGAPts
6Lech Poznań II531112910
11Unia Swarzędz5203696

Verdict, probable XI and verified absences

The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.

Open the full match card in the app

No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.

How does Footlab compute this prediction?

The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite for Lech Poznań II vs Unia Swarzędz?
The Footlab model makes Lech Poznań II the favourite at 43%, against 24% for a draw and 33% for Unia Swarzędz.
Where and when is Lech Poznań II vs Unia Swarzędz played?
Lech Poznań II vs Unia Swarzędz is played on March 27, 2027 at 04:00 PM (UTC) at Stadion Amiki Wronki, in the III Liga - Group 2.
Will there be over 2.5 goals?
The Footlab model gives a 66% probability of at least three goals in this match.
How reliable is this prediction?
The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.

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Next match: Lech Poznań II and Unia Swarzędz

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