Where and when is Gedania Gdansk vs Flota Świnoujście played?

Gedania Gdansk vs Flota Świnoujście is played on April 3, 2027 at 03:00 PM (UTC) at Boisko Gedania 1922 Gdańsk, in the III Liga - Group 2.

Will there be over 2.5 goals?

The Footlab model gives a 69% probability of at least three goals in this match.

How reliable is this prediction?

The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.

Match

Gedania Gdansk vs Flota Świnoujście: prediction and stats

III Liga - Group 2Group II - 25Kick-off on April 3, 2027 at 03:00 PM (UTC)Boisko Gedania 1922 Gdańsk, Gdańsk

Gedania Gdansk

Flota Świnoujście

The Footlab model makes Flota Świnoujście the favourite at 40%, against 23% for a draw and 37% for Gedania Gdansk. The most likely score is 1-1.

This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy

Probabilities recomputed on Aug 27, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.

Who will win Gedania Gdansk vs Flota Świnoujście?

A very open match: only 53 Elo points separate Gedania Gdansk (1,668) and Flota Świnoujście (1,722).

Gedania Gdansk win37 %

Draw23 %

Flota Świnoujście win40 %

What is the recent form of both teams?

Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Gedania Gdansk have 4 wins, 3 draws and 8 defeats; Flota Świnoujście have 5, 4 and 6.

The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.

Gedania Gdansk
Date	Opponent	Score	Competition
Aug 23, 2026	Lech Poznań II(home)	2-3	III Liga - Group 2
Aug 19, 2026	Kluczevia Stargard(away)	2-2	III Liga - Group 2
Aug 15, 2026	Wda Świecie(home)	1-1	III Liga - Group 2
Aug 8, 2026	Elana Toruń(away)	2-2	III Liga - Group 2
Jul 31, 2026	Noteć Czarnków(home)	5-3	III Liga - Group 2

Flota Świnoujście
Date	Opponent	Score	Competition
Aug 22, 2026	Chemik Bydgoszcz(away)	1-1	III Liga - Group 2
Aug 19, 2026	Victoria Września(home)	5-0	III Liga - Group 2
Aug 15, 2026	Bałtyk Koszalin(away)	2-1	III Liga - Group 2
Aug 8, 2026	Kotwica Kórnik(home)	2-0	III Liga - Group 2
Aug 1, 2026	Kalisz(home)	0-1	III Liga - Group 2

What does the head-to-head say?

Across the last 4 meetings: 2 Gedania Gdansk win(s), 1 draw(s), 1 Flota Świnoujście win(s).

Date	Score	Competition
Jun 1, 2025	Flota Świnoujście 3-4 Gedania Gdansk	III Liga - Group 2
Nov 9, 2024	Gedania Gdansk 1-1 Flota Świnoujście	III Liga - Group 2
Apr 13, 2024	Flota Świnoujście 2-1 Gedania Gdansk	III Liga - Group 2
Sep 16, 2023	Gedania Gdansk 4-1 Flota Świnoujście	III Liga - Group 2

Last archived meeting: Flota Świnoujście vs Gedania Gdansk on Jun 1, 2025

How many goals should we expect?

Gedania Gdansk score 1.5 and concede 2.3 goals per match over their last 15; Flota Świnoujście score 1.3 and concede 1.3. The model gives a 69% probability of over 2.5 goals and 70% for both teams to score.

Club	Goals scored / match	Goals conceded / match	Clean sheets	Both teams scored	Over 2.5 goals
Gedania Gdansk	1.5	2.3	1	8/15	10/15
Flota Świnoujście	1.3	1.3	4	7/15	8/15

Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.

Where do both teams sit in the table?

Gedania Gdansk sit 10th in III Liga - Group 2 (6 points from 5 matches) and Flota Świnoujście sit 5th (10 points from 5 matches).

2026-27 standings
#	Club	P	W	D	L	GF	GA	Pts
5	Flota Świnoujście	5	3	1	1	10	3	10
10	Gedania Gdansk	5	1	3	1	12	11	6

Verdict, probable XI and verified absences

The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.

Open the full match card in the app

No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.

How does Footlab compute this prediction?

The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite for Gedania Gdansk vs Flota Świnoujście?: The Footlab model makes Flota Świnoujście the favourite at 40%, against 23% for a draw and 37% for Gedania Gdansk.
Where and when is Gedania Gdansk vs Flota Świnoujście played?: Gedania Gdansk vs Flota Świnoujście is played on April 3, 2027 at 03:00 PM (UTC) at Boisko Gedania 1922 Gdańsk, in the III Liga - Group 2.
Will there be over 2.5 goals?: The Footlab model gives a 69% probability of at least three goals in this match.
How reliable is this prediction?: The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.