Fløya vs Finnsnes: prediction and stats
3. Division - Girone 5Regular Season - 20Kick-off on September 20, 2026 at 01:00 PM (UTC)Fløyabanen, Tromsø
The Footlab model makes Fløya the favourite at 62%, against 18% for a draw and 20% for Finnsnes. The most likely score is 2-1.
This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Aug 24, 2026 — the full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Fløya vs Finnsnes?
A very open match: only 89 Elo points separate Fløya (1,677) and Finnsnes (1,588).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Fløya have 11 wins, 0 draws and 4 defeats; Finnsnes have 10, 1 and 4.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 23, 2026 | Junkeren(home) | 5-3 | NM Cupen |
| Aug 15, 2026 | Skjervøy(away) | 3-1 | 3. Division - Girone 5 |
| Aug 6, 2026 | Ulfstind(home) | 7-0 | 3. Division - Girone 5 |
| Aug 1, 2026 | Alta(away) | 1-3 | 3. Division - Girone 5 |
| Jul 25, 2026 | Lillestrøm II(home) | 3-2 | 3. Division - Girone 5 |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 16, 2026 | Fauske Sprint(away) | 3-1 | 3. Division - Girone 5 |
| Aug 8, 2026 | Bossekop(home) | 2-3 | 3. Division - Girone 5 |
| Aug 2, 2026 | Skedsmo(away) | 1-0 | 3. Division - Girone 5 |
| Jul 25, 2026 | Strømsgodset II(home) | 2-1 | 3. Division - Girone 5 |
| Jun 28, 2026 | Alta(away) | 0-3 | 3. Division - Girone 5 |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 1 meetings: 0 Fløya win(s), 1 draw(s), 0 Finnsnes win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Apr 6, 2026 | Finnsnes 2-2 Fløya | 3. Division - Girone 5 |
How many goals should we expect?
Fløya score 3.1 and concede 1.7 goals per match over their last 15; Finnsnes score 2.1 and concede 1.4. The model gives a 80% probability of over 2.5 goals and 74% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Fløya | 3.1 | 1.7 | 2 | 12/15 | 15/15 |
| Finnsnes | 2.1 | 1.4 | 4 | 10/15 | 12/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Fløya sit 3rd in 3. Division - Girone 5 (29 points from 16 matches) and Finnsnes sit 2nd (32 points from 16 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | Finnsnes | 16 | 10 | 2 | 4 | 34 | 23 | 32 |
| 3 | Fløya | 16 | 9 | 2 | 5 | 40 | 24 | 29 |
Verdict, probable XI and verified absences
The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.
Open the full match card in the app
No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Fløya vs Finnsnes?
- The Footlab model makes Fløya the favourite at 62%, against 18% for a draw and 20% for Finnsnes.
- Where and when is Fløya vs Finnsnes played?
- Fløya vs Finnsnes is played on September 20, 2026 at 01:00 PM (UTC) at Fløyabanen, in the 3. Division - Girone 5.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab model gives a 80% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.