Tromsø II vs Kongsvinger II: prediction and stats
3. Division - Girone 5Regular Season - 20Kick-off on September 21, 2026 at 12:00 PM (UTC)Romssa Arena, Tromsø
The Footlab model makes Tromsø II the favourite at 54%, against 20% for a draw and 26% for Kongsvinger II. The most likely score is 2-1.
This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Aug 25, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Tromsø II vs Kongsvinger II?
A very open match: only 16 Elo points separate Tromsø II (1,567) and Kongsvinger II (1,550).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Tromsø II have 3 wins, 4 draws and 8 defeats; Kongsvinger II have 5, 2 and 8.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 17, 2026 | Bossekop(away) | 3-3 | 3. Division - Girone 5 |
| Aug 8, 2026 | Alta(home) | 3-0 | 3. Division - Girone 5 |
| Aug 2, 2026 | Strømsgodset II(away) | 2-0 | 3. Division - Girone 5 |
| Jul 25, 2026 | Ulfstind(home) | 1-3 | 3. Division - Girone 5 |
| Jun 28, 2026 | Lillestrøm II(away) | 3-5 | 3. Division - Girone 5 |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 16, 2026 | Alta(away) | 0-6 | 3. Division - Girone 5 |
| Aug 10, 2026 | Strømsgodset II(home) | 2-3 | 3. Division - Girone 5 |
| Aug 3, 2026 | Lillestrøm II(away) | 5-4 | 3. Division - Girone 5 |
| Jul 27, 2026 | Skedsmo(home) | 1-3 | 3. Division - Girone 5 |
| Jun 27, 2026 | Bossekop(away) | 2-0 | 3. Division - Girone 5 |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 1 meetings: 0 Tromsø II win(s), 0 draw(s), 1 Kongsvinger II win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| May 22, 2026 | Kongsvinger II 2-1 Tromsø II | 3. Division - Girone 5 |
Last archived meeting: Kongsvinger II vs Tromsø II on May 22, 2026
How many goals should we expect?
Tromsø II score 1.9 and concede 2.2 goals per match over their last 15; Kongsvinger II score 1.9 and concede 2.8. The model gives a 80% probability of over 2.5 goals and 76% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Tromsø II | 1.9 | 2.2 | 2 | 12/15 | 11/15 |
| Kongsvinger II | 1.9 | 2.8 | 1 | 12/15 | 12/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Tromsø II sit 12th in 3. Division - Girone 5 (17 points from 16 matches) and Kongsvinger II sit 10th (20 points from 16 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 | Kongsvinger II | 16 | 6 | 2 | 8 | 32 | 42 | 20 |
| 12 | Tromsø II | 16 | 4 | 5 | 7 | 28 | 31 | 17 |
Verdict, probable XI and verified absences
The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.
Open the full match card in the app
No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Tromsø II vs Kongsvinger II?
- The Footlab model makes Tromsø II the favourite at 54%, against 20% for a draw and 26% for Kongsvinger II.
- Where and when is Tromsø II vs Kongsvinger II played?
- Tromsø II vs Kongsvinger II is played on September 21, 2026 at 12:00 PM (UTC) at Romssa Arena, in the 3. Division - Girone 5.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab model gives a 80% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.