Skjervøy vs Skedsmo: prediction and stats
3. Division - Girone 5Regular Season - 20Kick-off on September 19, 2026 at 02:00 PM (UTC)Lerøy Stadion, Skjervøy
The Footlab model makes Skedsmo the favourite at 42%, against 21% for a draw and 37% for Skjervøy. The most likely score is 2-2.
This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Aug 24, 2026 — the full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Skjervøy vs Skedsmo?
Skedsmo starts as the favourite with a 119-point Elo edge (1,639 vs 1,521).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Skjervøy have 5 wins, 2 draws and 8 defeats; Skedsmo have 11, 0 and 4.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 15, 2026 | Fløya(home) | 1-3 | 3. Division - Girone 5 |
| Aug 8, 2026 | Harstad(away) | 0-7 | 3. Division - Girone 5 |
| Jul 30, 2026 | Ulfstind(away) | 3-1 | 3. Division - Girone 5 |
| Jul 25, 2026 | Alta(home) | 4-2 | 3. Division - Girone 5 |
| Jun 28, 2026 | Strømsgodset II(away) | 1-5 | 3. Division - Girone 5 |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 16, 2026 | Strømsgodset II(away) | 1-0 | 3. Division - Girone 5 |
| Aug 8, 2026 | Fauske Sprint(home) | 5-3 | 3. Division - Girone 5 |
| Aug 2, 2026 | Finnsnes(home) | 0-1 | 3. Division - Girone 5 |
| Jul 27, 2026 | Kongsvinger II(away) | 3-1 | 3. Division - Girone 5 |
| Jun 26, 2026 | Skjetten(home) | 0-1 | 3. Division - Girone 5 |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 1 meetings: 0 Skjervøy win(s), 0 draw(s), 1 Skedsmo win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Jun 13, 2026 | Skedsmo 2-0 Skjervøy | 3. Division - Girone 5 |
How many goals should we expect?
Skjervøy score 1.7 and concede 2.9 goals per match over their last 15; Skedsmo score 2.2 and concede 1.5. The model gives a 79% probability of over 2.5 goals and 77% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Skjervøy | 1.7 | 2.9 | 2 | 10/15 | 12/15 |
| Skedsmo | 2.2 | 1.5 | 4 | 8/15 | 10/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Skjervøy sit 11th in 3. Division - Girone 5 (20 points from 16 matches) and Skedsmo sit 1st (36 points from 16 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Skedsmo | 16 | 12 | 0 | 4 | 36 | 22 | 36 |
| 11 | Skjervøy | 16 | 6 | 2 | 8 | 27 | 44 | 20 |
Verdict, probable XI and verified absences
The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.
Open the full match card in the app
No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Skjervøy vs Skedsmo?
- The Footlab model makes Skedsmo the favourite at 42%, against 21% for a draw and 37% for Skjervøy.
- Where and when is Skjervøy vs Skedsmo played?
- Skjervøy vs Skedsmo is played on September 19, 2026 at 02:00 PM (UTC) at Lerøy Stadion, in the 3. Division - Girone 5.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab model gives a 79% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.