Fluminense vs Atletico-MG: result 1-0 and analysis
Serie ARegular Season - 8Kick-off on March 21, 2026 at 09:30 PM (UTC)Estadio Jornalista Mário Filho (Maracanã), Rio de Janeiro, Rio de Janeiro
Full time
What was the result of Fluminense vs Atletico-MG?
Fluminense won 1-0 on March 21, 2026.
Goalscorers
- 29′R. CastilloFluminense
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Fluminense have 10 wins, 3 draws and 2 defeats; Atletico-MG have 5, 6 and 4.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 19, 2026 | Vasco DA Gama(away) | 2-3 | Serie A |
| Mar 15, 2026 | Atletico Paranaense(home) | 3-2 | Serie A |
| Mar 12, 2026 | Remo(away) | 2-0 | Serie A |
| Mar 8, 2026 | Flamengo(home) | 0-0 | Carioca - 1 |
| Mar 1, 2026 | Vasco DA Gama(home) | 1-1 | Carioca - 1 |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 18, 2026 | Sao Paulo(home) | 1-0 | Serie A |
| Mar 14, 2026 | Vitoria(away) | 0-2 | Serie A |
| Mar 11, 2026 | Internacional(home) | 1-0 | Serie A |
| Mar 8, 2026 | Cruzeiro(away) | 0-1 | Mineiro - 1 |
| Mar 1, 2026 | America Mineiro(away) | 0-0 | Mineiro - 1 |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 6 meetings: 3 Fluminense win(s), 1 draw(s), 2 Atletico-MG win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Oct 4, 2025 | Fluminense 3-0 Atletico-MG | Serie A |
| May 11, 2025 | Atletico-MG 3-2 Fluminense | Serie A |
| Sep 25, 2024 | Atletico-MG 2-0 Fluminense | CONMEBOL Libertadores |
| Sep 18, 2024 | Fluminense 1-0 Atletico-MG | CONMEBOL Libertadores |
| Aug 25, 2024 | Atletico-MG 0-2 Fluminense | Serie A |
| May 4, 2024 | Fluminense 2-2 Atletico-MG | Serie A |
Last archived meeting: Fluminense vs Atletico-MG on Oct 4, 2025
How many goals should we expect?
Fluminense score 1.6 and concede 0.9 goals per match over their last 15; Atletico-MG score 1.5 and concede 1.2.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Fluminense | 1.6 | 0.9 | 6 | 9/15 | 7/15 |
| Atletico-MG | 1.5 | 1.2 | 3 | 9/15 | 6/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Fluminense sit 4th in Serie A (41 points from 24 matches) and Atletico-MG sit 8th (33 points from 23 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4 | Fluminense | 24 | 11 | 8 | 5 | 36 | 29 | 41 |
| 8 | Atletico-MG | 23 | 9 | 6 | 8 | 30 | 27 | 33 |
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy