Fluminense vs Atletico-MG: result 3-0 and analysis
Serie ARegular Season - 27Kick-off on October 4, 2025 at 09:30 PM (UTC)Estadio Jornalista Mário Filho (Maracanã), Rio de Janeiro, Rio de Janeiro
Full time
What was the result of Fluminense vs Atletico-MG?
Fluminense won 3-0 on October 4, 2025.
Goalscorers
- 15′Samuel XavierFluminense
- 58′K. SernaFluminense
- 90′KenoFluminense
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Fluminense have 6 wins, 5 draws and 4 defeats; Atletico-MG have 4, 4 and 7.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 1, 2025 | Sport Recife(away) | 2-2 | Serie A |
| Sep 28, 2025 | Botafogo(home) | 2-0 | Serie A |
| Sep 24, 2025 | Lanus(home) | 1-1 | CONMEBOL Sudamericana |
| Sep 20, 2025 | Vitoria(away) | 1-0 | Serie A |
| Sep 17, 2025 | Lanus(away) | 0-1 | CONMEBOL Sudamericana |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 1, 2025 | Juventude(home) | 0-0 | Serie A |
| Sep 28, 2025 | Mirassol(home) | 1-0 | Serie A |
| Sep 24, 2025 | Bolívar(home) | 1-0 | CONMEBOL Sudamericana |
| Sep 20, 2025 | Botafogo(away) | 0-1 | Serie A |
| Sep 17, 2025 | Bolívar(away) | 2-2 | CONMEBOL Sudamericana |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 6 meetings: 2 Fluminense win(s), 1 draw(s), 3 Atletico-MG win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| May 11, 2025 | Atletico-MG 3-2 Fluminense | Serie A |
| Sep 25, 2024 | Atletico-MG 2-0 Fluminense | CONMEBOL Libertadores |
| Sep 18, 2024 | Fluminense 1-0 Atletico-MG | CONMEBOL Libertadores |
| Aug 25, 2024 | Atletico-MG 0-2 Fluminense | Serie A |
| May 4, 2024 | Fluminense 2-2 Atletico-MG | Serie A |
| Oct 29, 2023 | Atletico-MG 2-0 Fluminense | Serie A |
Last archived meeting: Atletico-MG vs Fluminense on May 11, 2025
How many goals should we expect?
Fluminense score 1.3 and concede 1.1 goals per match over their last 15; Atletico-MG score 0.7 and concede 1.1.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Fluminense | 1.3 | 1.1 | 5 | 7/15 | 5/15 |
| Atletico-MG | 0.7 | 1.1 | 4 | 5/15 | 3/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Fluminense sit 4th in Serie A (38 points from 23 matches) and Atletico-MG sit 8th (32 points from 22 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4 | Fluminense | 23 | 10 | 8 | 5 | 34 | 28 | 38 |
| 8 | Atletico-MG | 22 | 9 | 5 | 8 | 30 | 27 | 32 |
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy