Fluminense vs Bahia: result 1-1 and analysis
Serie ARegular Season - 26Kick-off on October 4, 2014 at 07:20 PM (UTC)Estadio Jornalista Mário Filho (Maracanã), Rio de Janeiro, Rio de Janeiro
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What was the result of Fluminense vs Bahia?
Fluminense and Bahia drew 1-1 on October 4, 2014.
Goalscorers
- 22′Frederico Chaves GuedesFluminense
- 83′Marcos Aurélio de Oliveira LimaBahia
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Fluminense have 6 wins, 6 draws and 3 defeats; Bahia have 5, 6 and 4.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Sep 28, 2014 | Sao Paulo(away) | 3-1 | Serie A |
| Sep 25, 2014 | Gremio(home) | 0-0 | Serie A |
| Sep 21, 2014 | Flamengo(away) | 1-1 | Serie A |
| Sep 17, 2014 | Vitoria(away) | 1-3 | Serie A |
| Sep 13, 2014 | Palmeiras(home) | 3-0 | Serie A |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Sep 28, 2014 | Flamengo(home) | 2-1 | Serie A |
| Sep 25, 2014 | Sport Recife(home) | 1-0 | Serie A |
| Sep 21, 2014 | Vitoria(away) | 1-2 | Serie A |
| Sep 18, 2014 | Botafogo(away) | 3-2 | Serie A |
| Sep 14, 2014 | Figueirense(home) | 3-0 | Serie A |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 6 meetings: 5 Fluminense win(s), 0 draw(s), 1 Bahia win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| May 24, 2014 | Bahia 0-1 Fluminense | Serie A |
| Dec 8, 2013 | Bahia 1-2 Fluminense | Serie A |
| Sep 7, 2013 | Fluminense 1-0 Bahia | Serie A |
| Oct 10, 2012 | Bahia 0-2 Fluminense | Serie A |
| Jul 20, 2012 | Fluminense 4-0 Bahia | Serie A |
| Sep 18, 2011 | Bahia 3-0 Fluminense | Serie A |
How many goals should we expect?
Fluminense score 1.6 and concede 0.9 goals per match over their last 15; Bahia score 1.0 and concede 0.8.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Fluminense | 1.6 | 0.9 | 6 | 7/15 | 6/15 |
| Bahia | 1.0 | 0.8 | 6 | 7/15 | 5/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Fluminense sit 4th in Serie A (41 points from 24 matches) and Bahia sit 6th (37 points from 24 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4 | Fluminense | 24 | 11 | 8 | 5 | 36 | 29 | 41 |
| 6 | Bahia | 24 | 9 | 10 | 5 | 34 | 28 | 37 |
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy